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Weather is one of the top most influential features in daily commodity futures trading. It is also the most important consideration for food company's making purchasing commitments and farmers to determine hedge positions and planting decisions. World Weather, Inc. has 73 years of combined agricultural world weather forecasting experience and its staff has been supporting the commodity futures trade since 1979. This daily podcast will provide insight to the day's most important weather issues influencing world market trading. It is designed to discuss all of the most important weather-related issues of the day and will help explain how those weather issues will influence production and help the listener make better business decisions whether in the commodity futures market or out of it.
Episodes
Monday Oct 23, 2023
Morning Market Weather For Monday, October 23, 2023
Monday Oct 23, 2023
Monday Oct 23, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 23, 2023
- Excessive heat and dryness continued from northern Argentina to center west Brazil during the weekend with extreme highs of 100 to 111 Fahrenheit
- Rain fell in many areas in Argentina during the weekend and the precipitation was helpful for wheat development in the south and for future summer crop planting
- Brazil’s interior southern crop areas and Paraguay will see heavy rain late this week
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop in center west Brazil later this week and into next week easing excessive heat and dryness
- Concern about center west Brazil’s earlier planted summer crops remains because of excessive heat and limited rain and dry soil; some replanting will be necessary
- Beneficial moisture fell from northern Ukraine and Belarus into northern parts of Russia’s Southern Region and northwestern Kazakhstan during the weekend
- Western Europe will be trending wetter this week
- North Africa will get some beneficial rainfall this week
- Australia’s major crop areas will continue quite dry during the next ten days
- There is potential for frost and freezes in Victoria and far southern New South Wales, Australia later this week resulting in some potential for crop damage
- Snow will fall in southern Canada’s Prairies and the northern U.S. Plains with some snow also possible in northern and eastern parts of the U.S. Pacific Northwest k
- Bitter cold will follow this week’s snow event into the northern U.S. Plains, Pacific Northwest and Canada’s Prairies
- U.S. hard red winter wheat areas will get significant rain this week especially from north-central Texas through central Oklahoma to eastern wheat areas of Kansas
- Southern Indonesia has been reporting scattered thunderstorms recently and that will continue for a while bringing some drought relief
- Tropical Cyclones are threatening Yemen, Myanmar, Bangladesh, India, Mexico and Bermuda
Sunday Oct 22, 2023
Sunday Evening Market Weather for October 22, 2023
Sunday Oct 22, 2023
Sunday Oct 22, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 22, 2023
- No big surprises occurred during the weekend
- Rain fell significantly in portions of Argentina easing long term dryness
- Brazil’s center west will remain dry early this week, but will see some increasing showers late this week and next week
- Center west rainfall will be greatest in November not over the next 10 days
- Argentina rainfall will lighten up and become infrequent and lighter later this week and next week
- Western Australia is still going to be dry
- Northern parts of Russia’s Southern Region, northern Ukraine and northwestern Kazakhstan received rain during the weekend and more is coming
- Snow will accumulate in southern Canada’s Prairies and the northern U.S. Plains this week ahead of unusually cold air
- U.S. hard red winter wheat areas will get rain early to mid-week this week with snow in the northwest late this week and into the weekend
- Additional rain is expected next week
- The changes will improve winter crop establishment potentials
- Mississippi River Basin and a part of the lower Missouri River Basin will see relief from low water levels, although much more rain will be needed to remove draught restrictions
- Western Europe storminess will continue through the next ten days with rain eventually reaching into northeastern Europe leaving the Balkan Countries drier than usual
Friday Oct 20, 2023
Morning Market Weather For Friday, October 20, 2023
Friday Oct 20, 2023
Friday Oct 20, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 20, 2023
- Excessive heat and no rain fell in center west Brazil Thursday with highest temperatures in the range of 100 to 108 Fahrenheit
- The heat and dryness will continue in center west through early next week and then scattered showers and thunderstorms will begin to pop up periodically during the balance of next week
- Argentina weather is still looking wetter for much of the west-central, south and northeast during the next ten days bringing relief to persistent dryness; northwestern Argentina will be driest
- Southern Brazil will begin seeing waves of significant rain again during mid-week next week and that will continue through the following weekend; areas from Parana and Paraguay and Rio Grande do will be wettest along with parts of Uruguay and northeastern Argentina
- Center west Brazil rainfall is expected to slowly increase as time moves along late next week into the early days of November
- Western Australia dryness will persist into early November with showers mostly near the coast
- Queensland and northern New South Wales, Australia will continue too dry for unirrigated summer crop planting
- Victoria and southern New South Wales winter crops will remain in the best condition with the best potential yield
- Tropical Depression Sanba produced 18.89 inches of rain near the coast in southern Guangxi, China Thursday
- Russia’s Southern Region and Ukraine are expecting relief from weeks of dryness over the next ten days with sufficient moisture occurring to stimulate improved wheat, barley and rye establishment as long as temperatures stay warm
- Western Europe’s stormy weather will dominate the next five days with some of it expanding into central and northeastern areas late next week and into the following weekend
- The Lower Danube River Basin in southeastern Europe will remain dry
- India and China weather will remain mostly tranquil over the next two weeks, although rain will fall abundantly near and south of the Yangtze River.
- Waves of colder air expected in North America will put snow on the ground in Canada’s Prairies during mid-week next week and into the northern U.S. Plains late next week
- Frost and freezes will reach into the southwestern Plains a week from now and more likely in the following weekend
- Frost and freezes may also evolve in the lower Midwest with frost in the northern Delta possible in about ten days
- U.S. hard red winter wheat areas will get rain during mid-week next week and it will be greatest from Texas to eastern Kansas and western Missouri leaving some of the west-central high Plains crop areas dry or mostly dry
- U.S. harvest weather is expected to deteriorate as we move through the week next week and into the final days of October and early November due to rain and snow
- U.S. Delta and southeastern states will be dry through Thursday of next week and then some rain will fall in the Delta Oct. 27-29 and eventually it will reach the southeastern states near the end of this month.
Thursday Oct 19, 2023
Morning Market Weather For Thursday, October 19, 2023
Thursday Oct 19, 2023
Thursday Oct 19, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 19, 2023
- Another hot and dry day occurred in center west Brazil, Bolivia and central and northern Paraguay Wednesday and more of the same was expected through Monday; some cooling is expected next week as a boost in scattered showers and thunderstorms occur
- Argentina’s rain potentials are still good for the coming week to ten days with many areas getting much needed rain for a temporary increase in soil moisture
- Southern Brazil’s wet bias will remain in place for the next couple of weeks, although excessive rainfall should be absent for a while
- Much of Australia will be dry or mostly dry during the next ten days; including the very driest areas of Western Australia where the need for moisture is high for reproducing winter crops
- Andhra Pradesh and immediate neighboring areas in southern India are still too dry with little change likely
- China weather is expected to be well mixed in most grain and oilseed production areas; wheat planting will advance well
- Southern China will experience above normal rainfall from Tropical Storm Sanba as it meanders around in the Gulf of Tonkin the remainder of this week
- Heat and dryness continue a serious threat to agriculture in southern Indonesia with extreme high temperatures again Wednesday of 100 to 102 Fahrenheit in western Java
- Western Europe is still expected to become quite wet in the next ten days; flooding may eventually develop in parts of France, northwestern Spain, northern Italy and northern Portugal
- Middle and lower parts of the Danube River Basin will be dry for another week with some relief possible in middle parts of the basin in the Oct. 26-Nov. 1 period while the lower basin stays dry
- Improving precipitation is expected in portions of Ukraine and Russia’s Southern Region during the next couple of weeks
- Tropical Storm Norma will reach the southern tip of Baja California and northern Sinaloa early next week
- Moisture from Tropical Storm Norma will reach interior northern Mexico, parts of Texas and the southeastern corner of hard red winter wheat areas in the U.S. next week bringing some needed relief to dryness
- Cold surge coming to North America next week may induce a snow storm in the upper U.S. Midwest, northeastern Plains and/or southeastern Canada’s Prairies
Wednesday Oct 18, 2023
Morning Market Weather for Wednesday October 18, 2023
Wednesday Oct 18, 2023
Wednesday Oct 18, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 18, 2023
- Hot and dry weather will impact center west Brazil for the next seven days resulting in accelerated moisture losses, rising plant stress and a rising potential for crop failures in areas that were planted earlier on light moisture
- Argentina’s rain potentials are still good for western, central and northern areas periodically over the next ten days; Buenos Aires may be driest for a while
- Southern Brazil’s wet bias will remain in place for the next couple of weeks, although excessive rainfall should be absent for a while
- Much of Australia will be dry or mostly dry during the next ten days; including the very driest areas of Western Australia where the need for moisture is high for reproducing winter crops
- Recent rain in northern India was good for winter crop planting, although more would be welcome
- Andhra Pradesh and immediate neighboring areas in southern India are still too dry with little change likely
- China weather is expected to be well mixed in most grain and oilseed production areas; wheat planting will advance well
- Southern China will experience above normal rainfall from Tropical Storm Sanba as it meanders around in the Gulf of Tonkin later this week
- Central Vietnam received another 4.00 inches of rain Tuesday making 5-day rain totals in Da Nang of more than 45 inches more than 22 inches at Hue
- Heat and dryness continue a serious threat to agriculture in southern Indonesia with extreme high temperatures Tuesday of 100 to 102 Fahrenheit in western Java and southern Sumatra
- Western Europe is still expected to become quite wet in the next ten days; flooding may eventually develop in parts of France, northwestern Spain, northern Italy and northern Portugal
- Middle and lower parts of the Danube River Basin will be dry for another week with some relief possible in middle parts of the basin in the Oct. 26-Nov. 1 period
- Southeastern Ukraine and southern portions of Russia’s Southern Region will continue drier than usual while waves of rain impact areas to the north and west including most other areas in Ukraine northern parts of Russia’s Southern Region
- Tropical Storm Norma will reach the southern tip of Baja California and northern Sinaloa this weekend
- Moisture from Tropical Storm Norma will reach interior northern Mexico, parts of Texas and the southeastern corner of hard red winter wheat areas in the U.S. next week to bring some needed relief to dryness
- Cold surge coming to North America next week may induce a snow storm in the upper U.S. Midwest, northeastern Plains and/or southeastern Canada’s Prairies
Tuesday Oct 17, 2023
Morning Market Weather For Tuesday October 17, 2023
Tuesday Oct 17, 2023
Tuesday Oct 17, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 17, 2023
- Excessive heat occurred in northern Argentina, Paraguay and a few neighboring areas in Brazil Monday with extreme highs of 100 to 111 Fahrenheit
- Argentina rain potentials still look better for Saturday through Monday and again Oct. 25-26 with sufficient rain expected to improve topsoil moisture in many areas
- Center west Brazil will continue drying out over the next week with temperatures very warm to hot stressing early planted crops
- Southern Brazil will get more excessive rain through the end of this week
- Western Australia will remain dry for the next ten days
- Queensland and northern New South Wales unirrigated summer crop planting will remain on hold due to dryness for an indefinite period of time
- Ukraine and northern parts of Russia’s Southern Region will get significant moisture in the coming ten days easing long term dryness
- Cooling in western parts of the CIS and eastern Europe may slow winter crop development, but new growth and establishment will continue
- Dryness will prevail in the middle and lower Danube River Basin through the next ten days
- Morocco will get some needed rain in the next ten days
- Western Europe is expecting abundant to excessive rainfall late this week through much of next week stalling fieldwork, but raising soil moisture and water supply
- Torrential flooding continues in central coastal areas of Vietnam with another 8.00 inches of rain occurring Monday bring 4-day totals to 41.30 inches at Da Nang with more rain coming
- A tropical cyclone forming off the west coast of Mexico will bring rain to central and northeastern Mexico next week as well as in a part of the U.S. southern Plains and southeastern hard red winter wheat areas
- Cooling may bring rain and snow to the northern U.S. Plains and eastern Canada’s Prairies next week
Monday Oct 16, 2023
Morning Market Weather Update For Monday, October 16, 2023
Monday Oct 16, 2023
Monday Oct 16, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 16, 2023
- Western Australia will be dry for one more week; there is some potential for rain in the October 24-30 period
- Queensland and northern New South Wales as well as South Australia will be dry for ten days
- Northern India and parts of Pakistan rainfall early this week will be ideal for autumn planting and emergence, although some unharvested cotton may experience a little fiber discoloring because of the rain
- Andhra Pradesh, India will continue too dry while other areas in southern India get some rain this week
- Western Europe will turn notably wetter beginning Thursday of this week and continuing through all of next week
- Europe’s middle and lower Danube River Basin will receive limited rainfall over the next ten days keeping some winter crop areas dry while supporting aggressive fieldwork; including the harvest of summer crops and the planting of winter grain
- Portions of Russia’s Southern Region and Ukraine will trend wetter over the next ten days improving winter crop establishment as long as soil temperatures remain warm; some cooling is expected over the coming week to ten days
- China weather will remain favorably mixed for summer crop harvesting and winter crop planting
- Excessive rain and serious flooding occurred in central Vietnam during the weekend with Dan Nang reporting over 33.00 inches of rain since Friday and Hue reported nearly 20.00 inches
- Additional heavy rain is expected in central Vietnam this week causing more flooding or at least prolonging those conditions
- Brazil’s center west crop areas will continue to receive below normal rainfall and an erratic distribution of rain for at least another ten days
- Southern Brazil and southern Paraguay as well as a part of northeastern Argentina will get too much rain in the next ten days resulting in some flooding
- Central Argentina may receive some needed rain late this weekend into next week
- Southern Argentina could receive some needed rain next week as well
- U.S. weather will be mixed over the next ten days possibly slowing some summer crop harvest progress
- Rain is needed in the U.S. Pacific Northwest and hard red winter wheat production areas
- Canada’s Prairies will be trending cooler and wetter next week, but this week will be warm
- Ontario and Quebec summer harvest progress will remain slow due to waves of precipitation
Sunday Oct 15, 2023
Sunday Evening Weather Update For October 15, 2023
Sunday Oct 15, 2023
Sunday Oct 15, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 15, 2023
- Torrential rain fell in Vietnam central coastal areas during the weekend with more coming
- Western Australia will stay dry for the next ten days
- Western Europe will turn much wetter later this week through next week
- Northern India is expecting some welcome rain for winter crop planting
- Argentina weather will continue drier biased for another week, but rain may increase next week
- Center west Brazil will receive erratic rain this week and may trend wetter late this month
- Southeastern Europe will be dry biased for the next ten days as it has been for a while
- Ukraine and Russia’s Southern Region will gradually trend wetter over the next two weeks easing long term dryness
- New tropical cyclone may evolve in the tropical Atlantic Ocean this week while Tropical Depression Sean dissipates
- Tropical cyclone may evolve in the eastern Pacific Ocean later this week and my move across central or interior northern Mexico early next week
- Northern U.S. Midwest was wet during the weekend as expected
- Lower eastern U.S. Midwest is drier for this week than previously suggested
- U.S. hard red winter wheat areas will continue rain free for another week along with the Pacific Northwest
- Ontario and Quebec will turn too wet again later this week and into the weekend
Friday Oct 13, 2023
Morning Market Weather For Friday, October 13, 2023
Friday Oct 13, 2023
Friday Oct 13, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 13, 2023
- Brazil and northern Argentina weather is still advertised to trend wetter in the last week of this month, but there is reason to be skeptical of the computer forecasts due to their tendency to follow climatology in the longer range forecasting.
- A boost in precipitation is expected, although its significance is going to be debated for a while
- A close watch on the Amazon River Basin weather is warranted for a clue as to when and if improved rain will reach center west Brazil
- Western Australia will remain too dry for reproducing and filling winter wheat, barley and canola over the next ten days
- Queensland, Australia dryness will prevail for the next two weeks leaving dryland summer crop fields unplanted for a while longer
- Argentina’s drought remains for a while longer, but may get some relief near and beyond mid-month
- Center west Brazil rainfall is expected to continue erratic into late month; many areas are too dry, despite scattered showers
- Southern Brazil remains much too wet and waves of rain will continue threatening wheat quality and delaying summer crop planting
- Southern Indonesia drought conditions remain serious with little chance for change
- Northern India may get some beneficial planting moisture late this weekend into next week for winter crop areas, although it will be light; some delay to early season harvest progress is expected and there may be “some” concern over cotton quality
- Andhra Pradesh, India is too dry and needs rain
- Southern Russia and Ukraine showers in the next two weeks will be light and erratic benefiting some areas, but leaving the need for more rain; rainfall will be greatest during mid-week next week and in to the following weekend
- U.S. precipitation will continue greatest in the northern Midwest into Saturday causing some delay to summer crop harvesting
- Windy conditions are likely to continue in the central U.S. today; Peak gusts Thursday reached 60 mph
- Colder than usual temperatures are expected in the lower Midwest, southern Plains and southeastern states this weekend into next week, but warming is expected in the following week
- Canada’s Prairies will remain largely dry until mid-week next week when some showers are expected; temperatures will be quite warm
- Myanmar and western Thailand will continue to receive frequent rain improving water supply and soil moisture
- Central and northern Vietnam is expecting torrential rain in the coming week
Thursday Oct 12, 2023
Morning Market Weather For Thursday, October 12, 2023
Thursday Oct 12, 2023
Thursday Oct 12, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR OCTOBER 12, 2023
- Few changes overnight
- Western Australia will remain too dry for reproducing and filling winter wheat, barley and canola over the next ten days
- Queensland, Australia dryness will prevail for the next two weeks leaving dryland summer crop fields unplanted for a while longer
- Argentina’s drought remains for a while longer, but may get some relief near and beyond mid-month
- Center west Brazil rainfall is expected to continue erratic into late month; many areas are too dry, despite scattered showers
- Southern Brazil remains much too wet and waves of rain will continue threatening wheat quality and delaying summer crop planting
- Southern Indonesia drought conditions remain serious with little chance for change
- Rain in the southeastern United States Wednesday will linger today delaying fieldwork and temporarily discoloring cotton fiber
- Northern India may get some beneficial planting moisture late this weekend into next week for winter crop areas, although it will be light; some delay to early season harvest progress is expected and there may be “some” concern over cotton quality
- Andhra Pradesh, India is too dry and needs rain
- Southern Russia and Ukraine showers in the next two weeks will be light and erratic benefiting some areas, but leaving the need for more rain; rainfall will be greatest during mid-week next week and in to the following weekend
- U.S. weather will be briefly wetter in the northern Midwest today into Friday with a small follow up storm system late next week
- Windy conditions are likely in the U.S. Plains today and Friday with some concern over mature cotton in the southwest
- Colder than usual temperatures are expected in the Midwest, southern Plains and southeastern states this weekend into next week
- Canada’s Prairies will remain largely dry for the coming week while Ontario and Quebec, Canada slowly begin to dry out after recent abundant rain
- Myanmar and western Thailand will continue to receive frequent rain improving water supply and soil moisture
- Central and northern Vietnam is expecting torrential rain in the coming week