53K
Downloads
277
Episodes
Weather is one of the top most influential features in daily commodity futures trading. It is also the most important consideration for food company's making purchasing commitments and farmers to determine hedge positions and planting decisions. World Weather, Inc. has 73 years of combined agricultural world weather forecasting experience and its staff has been supporting the commodity futures trade since 1979. This daily podcast will provide insight to the day's most important weather issues influencing world market trading. It is designed to discuss all of the most important weather-related issues of the day and will help explain how those weather issues will influence production and help the listener make better business decisions whether in the commodity futures market or out of it.
Episodes
Wednesday Jan 24, 2024
Wednesday Jan 24, 2024
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JANUARY 24, 2024
- 00z GFS model was too cold in eastern Canada and the U.S. Midwest during week two generating too much snow in the central Plains – this model run should be tossed out today at least for the second week forecast
- 06z GFS model run looks better
- Argentina rainfall is still minimal through day 10 of the forecast today
- Argentina showers and thunderstorms develop in days 11-15, although the distribution of “meaningful” rain is a little erratic in today’s forecasts
- GFS Ensemble rainfall for Argentina in week two has been reduced in today’s forecasts
- ECMWF model has reduced precipitation in Mato Grosso do Sul, southern Mato Grosso and Sao Paulo relative to that of Tuesday in days 8-10 whereas the GFS model has not offered much change of significance
- Most models today are in agreement that rainfall from Sao Paulo, southwestern Minas Gerais and far northern Parana to Mato Grosso and southern Goias will be lighter than usual in the first week to nearly ten days of the forecast
- Crop conditions should stay mostly good, despite a firming topsoil due to adequate subsoil moisture
- Above normal rainfall is still advertised for areas from Bahia and northern Minas Gerais into Tocantins, Brazil in the first week to ten days of today’s forecast
- U.S. southwestern states, Great Plains and Mexico are advertised wetter in week two of the forecast today by the GFS Ensemble and dictated by the Madden Julian Oscillation
- The wetter bias may impact a part of the Midwest late in week 2 and possibly in early week 3
- North America temperatures will rise well above normal this weekend through most of next week and then gradually cool down in early February beginning in the western half of North America first
- Canada’s Prairies and the U.S. northern Plains will be mostly dry for 8-9 days and then some precipitation will begin with the northern Plains wettest
- Stormy weather in U.S. Delta, Tennessee River Basin, southeastern states and lower and eastern Midwest will continue today into Sunday and then be followed by 5-7 days of drier weather
- Some flooding rain is still expected in the Delta
- 2-Day rain totals from eastern Texas to central Arkansas have already ranged from 2.00 to 5.00 inches with local totals over 6.00 inches
- Tropical Cyclone Kirrily will move inland to northeastern Australia near Townsville City, Queensland Thursday producing some heavy rain and coastal flooding as well as some strong wind speeds, though the system will come inland with tropical storm intensity which should spare the region from serious damage
- Some rain from the storm will reach into a part of Queensland’s grain, oilseed and cotton country, but the impact will be beneficial for that region
- China’s greatest rain in the coming week will be in the southeastern corner of the nation where waves of rain are likely south of the Yangtze River
- The rain will continue in week 2 of the forecast with some expansion north into east-central parts of the nation
- Waves of snow and some rain will continue to impact the western CIS keeping the flood potential high this spring
- West-central and southwestern Europe, Italy and North Africa are still advertised dry for the next ten days
- The bulk of India is still advertised to be dry over the next ten days
Tuesday Jan 23, 2024
Tuesday Jan 23, 2024
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JANUARY 23, 2024
- U.S. Delta is facing flooding rainfall over the next five days
- Rain totals of 3.00 to 6.00 inches and local totals of upwards to 10.00 inches are expected by Sunday
- The area includes one of the nation’s driest regions and will largely remove dryness from the region
- Moderate rain occurred Monday and overnight from eastern Texas to central Arkansas where rain totals varied from 1.00 to 3.00 inches
- Argentina will continue to dry down for another week to ten days, but rain potentials should rise in early February
- Crop moisture stress will be greatest in central and southern Buenos Aires and central and southern La Pampa for a while especially in the late double cropped soybean areas where recently planting has left some crops with short root systems
- Most of the Brazil will get rain with moderate to heavy amounts in the north from Bahia and northern Minas Gerais to Tocantins and northern Goias
- Sao Paulo, southwestern Minas Gerais, eastern Mato Grosso do Sul and southern Goias will receive lighter than usual rain, but showers will occur to maintain crop needs
- Tropical Cyclone 07P has formed northeast of Queensland, Australia with landfall expected Thursday along the central Coast
- This storm promises to bring dryness easing rain to interior eastern Queensland cotton, sorghum, peanut and other coarse grain and oilseed production areas
- Sugarcane will benefit as well
- This storm promises to bring dryness easing rain to interior eastern Queensland cotton, sorghum, peanut and other coarse grain and oilseed production areas
- Stormy weather in northern Europe will produce some strong wind rain and rough seas over the next couple of days
- Southwestern and west-central Europe and North Africa will be dry biased over the next ten days to two weeks
- Drought will continue in southern Spain, portions of Morocco and northwestern Algeria
- South Africa will get timely rainfall, although western summer crop areas will need higher volumes of rain to maintain the best crop development potential
- Western CIS will continue to see waves of snow and some rain keeping spring flood potentials higher than usual
- India precipitation potentials remain poor as reproduction of winter crops approaches
- Greater rain is needed to support reproduction
- China weather will remain fine along with most of Indonesia, Malaysia and southern and eastern Philippines
- Northwestern Luzon Islands, Philippines is a little too dry
- Canada’s Prairies and the northern U.S. Plains will remain dry and warm biased for the next ten days and possibly longer
- West Texas will get a little moisture soon, but not enough to seriously change the moisture profile
- U.S. Midwest crop areas will get enough moisture to maintain good field conditions except in the far northwest where there will be some need for spring precipitation ahead of planting
Monday Jan 22, 2024
Monday Jan 22, 2024
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JANUARY 22, 2024
- Argentina is advertised drier again today with little to no rain for the next ten days
- Southern areas are already drying down and this trend will only make those areas drier
- Central and southern Buenos Aires and central and southern La Pampa are already dry and crop moisture stress will rise in these areas impacting many crops, but late season soybeans that were recently planted could be most impacted
- A few crop areas from Santiago del Estero into a part of Chaco and Formosa are also already drying out and will need greater rain soon
- Central Argentina has the best soil moisture and will handle the first half of the dry period without much difficulty, but next week’s weather could be a bit more stressful for a few crops
- Most of Brazil will get rain during the next ten days with heavy rain possible in parts of Minas Gerais, Espirito Santo, Bahia and Tocantins as well as perhaps a few northern Goias locations and in a few northeastern most Mato Grosso areas
- Southern and western portions of Rio Grande do Sul will experience some drying – like Argentina
- A few areas in Sao Paulo, northern Parana, eastern Mato Grosso do Sul and southwestern Minas Gerais may not get enough rain to counter evaporation for a while this week, although the showers will slow drying rates and conserve soil moisture
- A developing tropical cyclone northeast of Australia is expected to move inland over central Queensland Thursday and it will produce heavy rain from central Queensland to northeastern New South Wales late this week and during the weekend benefiting some of the sorghum, cotton, peanut and coarse grain crops produced in the region
- Some flooding is also expected which may impact a few crops including sugarcane
- South Africa rainfall will be greatest in the eastern summer crop areas leaving some concern about western areas getting a little too dry over time
- U.S. weather will be more active during the coming week with abundant rain from the southern Plains through the Delta and Tennessee River Basin to the lower and eastern Midwest and southeastern states
- Flooding will be possible in a part of far eastern Texas and the Delta as well as the Tennessee River Basin
- Drought relief is expected for the Delta and Tennessee River Basin
- Flooding will be possible in a part of far eastern Texas and the Delta as well as the Tennessee River Basin
- Not much precipitation of significance is likely in the northwestern U.S. Plains or Canada’s Prairies during the next ten days
- Waves of rain and mountain snow will continue in California and the Pacific Northwest over the next ten days
- West Texas rain is expected in waves during the second half of this week and into early next week, although amounts will be light; the moisture is certainly needed
- West-central and southwestern Europe precipitation is expected to be restricted during the next ten days along parts of Italy; snow and rain are expected more significantly to the northeast
- Western CIS will see more snow piling up on the ground over the next ten days keeping flood potentials high this spring
- China precipitation over the next week will be greatest near and south of the Yangtze River and then expand to the east-central provinces next week
- India will continue dry biased except in Odisha where some rain is expected
Monday Jan 22, 2024
Monday Jan 22, 2024
Today's PowerPoint video discusses weekend weather and the 10-day outlook for major agricultural areas in the world. The intent here is to provide weather insight for commodity market trading and long term agricultural business decisions. These broadcasts occur daily on our premium weather podcasting site for USD $20/month. Enjoy!
Friday Nov 17, 2023
Friday Nov 17, 2023
For our opinion about South America Weather. Watch at least the first 14 minutes and 22 seconds of today's PowerPoint. If you would like to see these presentations every day please email us at worldweather@bizkc.rr.com. It is one of our subscription services.
Monday Nov 13, 2023
Monday Nov 13, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR NOVEMBER 13, 2023
- Center west, center south and interior northeastern Brazil are all advertised to see some rainfall boost next week
- Brazil weekend rainfall was heavy in southern Rio Grande do Sul and light to moderate in central parts of the state and eastern Santa Catarina
- Most of the Brazil was very warm to hot and dry during the weekend with an extreme high of 108 in northeastern Minas Gerais and western Mato Grosso do Sul and 104 in both eastern Mato Grosso do Sul and central Mato Grosso
- Brazil will be dry and warm to hot this workweek except in the far south where waves of rain will continue
- Argentina will be wet in the northeast this week and next week while alternating periods of rain and sunshine occur elsewhere
- Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is falling once again suggesting a short term bout of El Nino strengthening which means less rain in Southeast Asia, eastern Australia, central Africa, India and Central America later this month
- A tropical disturbance along the east coast of India may bring a boost in coastal rain late this week and into the weekend from Odisha to Bangladesh
- Tropical disturbance in the Caribbean Sea may enhance Central America rainfall for a while this workweek and then bring significant rain to Hispaniola and far eastern Cuba Friday into the weekend
- Europe and the western CIS will remain wet biased for another week to nearly ten days
- Interior India and China precipitation will be restricted
- Indonesia and Philippines rainfall is increasing this week and will decrease later this month
- Improved rainfall in southern Indonesia will be welcome
- Australia rainfall will be sporadic and light this week
- South Africa will experience net drying and warm temperatures for the next couple of weeks
- U.S. Midwest will dry down for one more week and then see some Sunday through early next week followed by some cooling and addition precipitation
- Heavy rain is likely along the central and western U.S. Gulf of Mexico Coast early this week with local flooding possible
- South Texas already reported more than 4.00 inches through early this morning with parts of the lower Rio Grande valley reporting up to 5.60 inches
- Western U.S. hard red winter wheat areas are unlikely to get much usable rain during the next couple of weeks
Sunday Nov 12, 2023
Sunday Nov 12, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR NOVEMBER 12, 2023
- Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is falling once again suggesting a short term bout of El Nino strengthening which means….
- Less rain in Southeast Asia later this month
- Less rain in eastern Australia later this month
- Less rain in Central Africa later this month
- Less rain in India
- Less rain in Central America later this month
- Brazil weekend rainfall was limited to southern and central Rio Grande do Sul and eastern Santa Catarina
- Brazil will be dry and warm to hot this week except in the far south where waves of rain will continue
- Argentina will be wet in the northeast this week and next week while alternating periods of rain and sunshine occur elsewhere
- A tropical disturbance along the east coast of India may bring a boost in coastal rain late this week and into the weekend from Odisha to Bangladesh
- Tropical disturbance in the Caribbean Sea may enhance Central America rainfall for a while this workweek and then bring significant rain to Hispaniola during the weekend and/or early next week
- Europe and the western CIS will remain wet biased for another week to nearly ten days
- Interior India and China precipitation will be restricted
- Indonesia and Philippines rainfall is increasing this week and will decrease later this month
- Improved rainfall in southern Indonesia will be welcome
- Australia rainfall will be sporadic and light this week
- South Africa will experience net drying and warm temperatures for the next couple of weeks
- U.S. Midwest will dry down for one more week and then see some rain a week from now through a part of next week
- Heavy rain is likely along the central and western U.S. Gulf of Mexico Coast early this week with local flooding possible
- Western U.S. hard red winter wheat areas are unlikely to get much usable rain during the next couple of weeks
Friday Nov 10, 2023
Friday Nov 10, 2023
Today's PowerPoint on world agriculture weather is focused on the problems coming for Brazil during the next ten days. Not enough moisture will fall and record or near-record heat is expected which may cut production potentials. Some of the driest areas in northern Brazil will experience serious crop moisture and heat stress during the coming week that may lead to some additional early season crop loss and will certainly set back crop development for a while. Some of the driest areas may not plant much during this period either until rain chances improve. Also, in today's report are reviews of Argentina, Australia, Europe/CIS, India, China and U.S. weather situations and expectations for the coming week to ten days.
Friday Nov 10, 2023
Friday Nov 10, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR NOVEMBER 10, 2023
- Nine to ten days of net drying is still expected in Brazil’s center west and center south crop areas along with some very warm to hot temperatures keeping evaporation rates strong
- Southern Brazil and immediate neighboring areas of Argentina and Uruguay will see waves of rain this weekend through next week resulting in some flooding especially in northern Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina as well as a part of southern Paraguay
- Other areas in Argentina will see a good distribution of rain, though greater rain will still be needed in western Argentina
- North Africa will continue in need of greater rain especially in Algeria and northern Tunisia where “some” showers may occur in the second week of the forecast, but no general soaking is likely
- Northeastern New South Wales, Australia received some welcome rain Thursday
- Eastern Australia will see some other periodic showers and thunderstorms in the next two weeks, but it will be very difficult for rainfall to be great enough to counter evaporation especially in western dryland production areas
- Southern India’s frequent rain is about to end and that should lead to improved crop development and field working conditions
- China’s weather will remain favorable over the next two weeks
- Europe and the western CIS will continue wet biased fort another week to ten days
- U.S. hard red winter wheat areas will remain dry biased for another 7-8 days
- Heavy rain is expected along the Texas and Louisiana coasts this weekend and early next week with some flooding possible
- A low pressure center along the western U.S. Gulf of Mexico Coast this weekend and early next week is unlikely to become a tropical system, but it will produce 2.00 to more than 6.00 inches of rain by mid-week next week from the Texas coast to southern Alabama and western portions of the Florida Panhandle
- U.S. Delta weather will also be wetter biased next week ending fieldwork for a while
- Greater precipitation is needed in northern and central Oregon as well as the Yakima Valley of Washington
- U.S. eastern Midwest precipitation potentials will improve during after day nine of the forecast
- U.S. southeastern states will see some relief from dryness this weekend and again later next week
- Central and northeastern Mexico will receive some significant rain this weekend into early next week easing dryness in several areas
- A tropical disturbance in the Caribbean Sea may enhance Central America rainfall this weekend into next week
Thursday Nov 09, 2023
Thursday Nov 09, 2023
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR NOVEMBER 9, 2023
- No changes in Brazil rainfall expectations were noted today with little to no rain through day nine in center west, center south and northeastern crop areas and then slowly increasing shower activity from day 10 to day 14
- World Weather, Inc. believes some of the advertised rain in days 10-14 in Brazil is overdone and another period of drier weather is possible following that bout of moisture
- Argentina’s weather is mostly unchanged today with a favorable mix of rain and sunshine in the west and south and more generalized frequent rain in the northeast that may saturate the soil once again
- Highest temperatures noted in South America Wednesday reached 114.8 Celsius in north-central Formosa, Argentina near the Paraguay border
- U.S. weather has not changed much through day 10 with restricted precipitation in hard red winter wheat areas and west Texas cotton country as well as the northern U.S. Plains and southwestern portions of Canada’s Prairies
- Rain has been increased in Louisiana during the second week of the forecast to help ease dryness, but drought will prevail from parts of the Delta into the southeastern United States
- U.S. Midwest crop weather will remain mostly good in the heart of the summer crop harvest region, although a little more rain was suggested for days 10-15
- Europe and the western CIS remains wet for the next ten days
- Southern India will dry down after Saturday
- China weather will remain mostly good for winter crops
- Northeastern China received more snow Wednesday and temperatures remain quite cold
- Australia’s forecast has changed little with some showers over the next ten days, but no generalized rain that would seriously change the nation’s soil moisture
- South Africa’s northwestern summer crop areas need significant rain to improve planting conditions
- North Africa will remain in need of significant rain for improved wheat and barley planting especially in Algeria and Tunisia