World Weather, Inc. Daily Ag Market Weather (audio)

Morning Market Weather for Thursday, May 22, 2025

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR MAY 22, 2025

• Talk about frost/freeze potential in southern Brazil mid- to late-week next week is likely overdone
  • Some soft frost is possible, but no crop damaging cold is likely that would threaten any crop
  • Most harvesting of rice, soybeans and first season corn is done in Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina where it would likely be coldest
  • Wheat planting is just beginning in Rio Grande do Sul
  • Safrinha corn is produced farther to the north of where the cold air is expected and temperatures will be non-threatening and the same is true for wheat, sugarcane, coffee and citrus
• Some rain may precede next week’s cooler air in Brazil’s center west and center south crop areas
  • Most likely the precipitation advertised in the weather models is overdone because the cold is overdone, but there is potential for 0.20 to 0.75 inch of moisture in some of the late planted Safrinha corn and cotton production areas and if that occurs it will be timely during the reproductive phase of crop development possibly helping to bolster crop yields rather than hurting it
• China’s dryness will be partially eased by scattered showers overnight and today, although the relief will be limited
  • Temperatures were hot one more day Wednesday
  • Follow up moisture should be minimal for at least a week to ten days after showers end today
  • Early June will be the next time most favored for some rain
• Northern Europe rainfall is still expected to begin sporadically this weekend and more favorably next week; however, parts of central Germany may get cheated out of some of the best rainfall
  • Portions of France may also miss out on some of the moisture
  • Areas that miss the rain will need to be closely monitored for the next period of warm and dry biased conditions
• Australia’s forecast has not changed greatly with some showers to continue today and Friday in New South Wales while other areas are dry biased for much of the coming week
  • Some showers will impact coastal areas, but it will be early June before Western and South Australia crop areas get a good chance for meaningful rain
• S. weather was cold enough for frost and light freezes overnight in southwestern North Dakota and the northern half of Minnesota
  • The impact on crops was minimal
• Flooding rain expected to return in the U.S. Delta, parts of Oklahoma, southeastern Kansas, southern Missouri and a part of the Tennessee River Basin over the coming week will further set back fieldwork for some areas that have not been able to plant this year
  • Wheat in Oklahoma will not welcome the moisture while that in Kansas and Nebraska will prove to be beneficial
• Drying in Canada’s Prairies and a new warming trend in the coming week will exacerbate dryness in the soil over western and northern Saskatchewan and in a few areas in eastern Alberta
  • Dryness remains a concern in the Peace River region of Alberta and British Columbia as well

Mid-Day Market Weather for Wednesday, May 21, 2025

Highlights in this Audio

• Today's mid-day GFS model run was wetter in Canada's Prairies and the northern U.S. Plains during the second week of the forecast - this may be overdone
• The mid-day GFS model run also continued to promote the potential for a little rain in Safrinha crop areas of Brazil during mid-week next week and again around June 1
  • This may be overdone
• No changes for China's drought, despite a few showers
• Russia's Southern Region, eastern Ukraine and western Kazakhstan are expected dry down for the next ten days with slowly rising temperatures 
• No changes in Europe or Australia
• Lower U.S. Midwest, central Plains and Delta are all advertised to become wetter this weekend into early next week as previously indicated

If you like this daily recording along with our World Weather PowerPoint and Morning Weather Market Comments you should subscribe. Go to www.worldweather.cc or call our office 913-383-1161

World Weather PowerPoint For Wednesday, May 21, 2025

HIGHLIGHTS IN THIS VIDEO

• A blocking weather pattern remains over central Canada and will prevent rain from impact the eastern Prairies after Thursday morning for at least the next ten days
• Some drying will evolve in the northern Midwest as a result of the blocking pattern as well
• rain will return to the lower Midwest, southern Plains, Delta and southeastern states next week as cool and dry air overtakes the Midwest
• Brazil's center west and center south crop areas may get some shower activity briefly next week to favor late planted Safrinha crops
• A quick update of weather in other areas of the world

Morning Market Weather For Wednesday, May 21, 2025

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR MAY 21, 2025

• A blocking weather pattern remains over central Canada keeping the eastern Prairies in a dry weather mode and this will prevail for the next ten days with temperatures eventually rising back above normal
• Less rain is now predicted for the northern U.S. Midwest as the focus of rain energy shifts to the lower Midwest, Delta and immediate neighboring areas
• S. Pacific Northwest is expected move back into the heat again during the weekend and especially next week with 80- and some 90-degree highs expected with little to no rainfall further stressing unirrigated crops as they move toward reproduction
• West Texas precipitation potentials will rise this weekend with next week wetter in much of the southern Plains
• Heavy rain is still being advertised for the lower Missouri River Basin, northern Delta and parts of the Tennessee River Basin for late this weekend into early next week
• Northern Europe is still advertised to start getting some shower activity next week, though resulting rainfall may be sporadic and light leaving an ongoing need for greater rain
• Some net drying is expected in Russia’s Southern Region over the next couple of weeks, though soil moisture will continue favorable for crops during that period of time; temperatures will slowly trend warmer
• Moderate to excessive rain may impact southeastern Europe next week and into the early days of June
• Hot temperatures in east-central China will abate as a cool front arrives in the next two days and some shower and thunderstorm activity is likely
• Southern China will receive frequent rain in the next ten days resulting in some local flooding
• Northeastern China will have generally dry biased weather for a while resulting in some aggressive spring planting
  • Rain will be needed in early June
• Southeastern New South Wales, Australia will get some welcome rain in the balance of this week while other crop areas in the nation are dry
• Southern Australia wheat, barley and canola areas will get rain in the second week of the forecast to begin improving planting and emergence conditions
• Center west and center south Brazil may get some extremely important rainfall during mid- to late-week next week which could be perfectly timed for the late planted Safrinha crops as they approach and enter reproduction
• Argentina early wheat and barley planting weather will be great over the coming week due to limited rain
• Far southern Brazil will get frequent bouts of rain in this coming week before drier weather resumes
•  

Mid-Day Audio Weather For May 20, 2025

Today's mid-day GFS model update did not change much overseas, but portions of the central U.S. Plains were advertised wetter for late next week while greater rain was advertised for the northern Delta, Tennessee River Basin and southern Illinois. If all of the rain occurs as advertised, the Midwest will go into early June with adequate to abundant soil moisture. 

World Weather PowerPoint For Tuesday May 20, 2025

Highlights in This Video:

• Cool temperatures in North America
• Rain overdone in parts of lower U.S. Midwest
• Relief coming to northern Europe
• China experiences excessive heat and that will linger another day before relief comes
• Russia's Southern Region may not get as much rain as other former Soviet Union Crop areas do
• Model Forecasts for Rain in Safrinha corn and cotton areas next week may be overdone
• Australia rainfall will be a little limited and light for a while
• India's rainfall boost and possible tropical cyclones

Morning Market Weather For Tuesday, May 20, 2025

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR MAY 20, 2025

• China’s dry region was hot Monday with highs in the 90s to 108 degrees Fahrenheit
  • The heat will continue today and then slowly ease later this week
  • A few showers and thunderstorms are also expected during the second half of this week to offer a short term bout of relief from the heat and dryness, although the will not be widespread or great enough to shut down drought
• Russia’s Southern Region will not get nearly as much rain as other areas and the need for moisture may rise in time once temperatures turn hotter
• Northern Europe will be dry through the weekend and next week should trend wetter in Germany and the North Sea region
• Some additional rain will evolve later this week in New South Wales wheat, barley and canola areas while most other areas in southern Australia are dry biased for a while longer; some periodic rain will fall near the southern coast this weekend into next week with Victoria wettest
• Argentina flooding is not impacting a major crop region and most of the nation continues to experience a good environment for summer crop maturation and harvesting
  • Winter wheat and barley planting is expected to get off to a great start and should establish well this year
• Both the GFS and ECMWF models are suggesting some rain in Safrinha corn and cotton areas of Brazil during the last days of May
• U.S. weather will be cooler than usual for the next week to ten days and that will conserve soil moisture and help ensure plenty of moisture for establishing corn, soybeans and other crops
  • Additional rain expected in the coming week will slow fieldwork, but keep the through of drought and dryness out of the minds’ of most traders and producers – at least the Midwest, Delta and northern Plains
• Too much rain continues to fall in parts of Kentucky, southeastern Missouri, the northern Delta and parts of the Tennessee River Basin preventing fieldwork from advancing as it should
• Dryness in the Yakima Basin and northern Oregon may be harming unirrigated winter crops which are moving into the heading and flowering stage
• West Texas rainfall is expected next week, but this week will continue mostly dry
• Most Gulf of Mexico coastal crop areas will also be dry for the next seven days and then portions of the region will have opportunity for rain
• Southern and eastern Mexico will trend wetter in the coming week to ten days easing recent dryness
• Portions of Canada’s Prairies will get needed moisture, though more will be needed in some areas
• India’s Monsoon will get off to an aggressive start this year with pre-monsoonal showers and thunderstorms more abundant than usual in this coming week

World Weather PowerPoint For Monday, May 19, 2025

Highlights in this Video:

• Discussion of blocking weather pattern potential in North America
• Discussion of important rain event occurring over the next few days in the northern U.S. Plains, Midwest and Delta
• Severe weather risk is high in the southeastern U.S. Plains and lower Midwest Today and Tuesday 
• Frost/freeze coverage for North America during the weekend
• Relief potential for northern Europe Dryness
• Limited Relief for China, although hot and dry weather will be replaced by cooler temperatures and some rain
• Australia rain potential during the next two weeks
• Early southern Asia monsoon potential
• Update on Black Sea region
• Update on South America

Morning Market Weather For Monday, May 19, 2025

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR MAY 19, 2025

• Northern Europe’s dry-biased weather is advertised to begin easing next week
• A portion of China’s dry region gets isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday and a few more during the weekend, although not all of the dry area gets rain and much more rain will be needed soon to improve the long range outlook for rain-fed summer crops
• Southern China will receive frequent abundant to excessive rain eventually leading to some flooding
  • This impacts rice, sugarcane and citrus production areas as well as some minor corn and soybean areas
  • Southern rapeseed areas will also be impacted and any unharvested crop may suffer a quality decline
• Portions of eastern New South Wales, Australia crop areas will get some needed rain late this week to improve canola, wheat and barley planting and emergence conditions in unirrigated fields
• Interior Western Australia will continued drier biased during the next ten days along with interior South Australia leaving winter crop areas in need of moisture
• Ukraine will get waves of moisture in the next ten days along with many other western former Soviet Union crop areas
• Russia’s Southern Region will get “some” rain this week, but greater amounts of moisture may be desirable
  • Temperatures will be cool this week and warmer than usual next week
• An aggressive start to monsoon moisture is advertised for the southern half of India eastward through most of the mainland areas of Southeast Asia possibly inducing floods of significance in early June
• Many areas in Argentina will be dry this workweek; rain will fall in the far north during mid- to late week and then many areas will get rain Saturday and Sunday in the east before more drying occurs after that
• Southern Brazil (southern Paraguay and southern Parana into Rio Grande do Sul and Uruguay) will get waves of rain over the next ten days resulting in some local flooding. The greatest rain is expected late this coming weekend into early next week
• Center west, center south and northeastern Brazil will be dry and warm during the next two weeks
• Southern Mexico will get drought and dryness relief in the south beginning late this week and continuing through the weekend and into next week
• Most of the central and northern U.S. Plains, Midwest, northern Delta and Tennessee River Basin will get rain this week with less precipitation and warmer temperatures advertised for next week
  • Flooding may return to the northern Delta, Tennessee, Kentucky, southern Missouri and the Ohio River Basin
• A U.S. severe weather outbreak is expected today in the east-central and southeastern U.S. Plains and parts of Missouri into Arkansas
  • The stormy weather will shift to the lower Midwest, Tennessee River Basin and Delta Tuesday

Sunday Evening Market Weather Update For May 18, 2025

HIGHLIGHTS SINCE FRIDAY

 

• S. crop weather is going to be favorable for the next ten days, although the Gulf of Mexico Coast region, West Texas and the interior valleys in the Pacific Northwest will be dry biased
• Frost and light freezes occurred in a small part of the northern Plains during the weekend and the impact was low
• Western Saskatchewan dryness may be partially eased later this week
• Frost and freezes in Canada’s Prairies late last week and during the weekend had a low impact on crops
• No excessive heat is slated for north America
• Europe temperatures will be milder than usual which will conserve soil moisture
• Northern Europe dryness will last through this week while a boost in precipitation occurs this weekend into next week in some of the driest areas
• Early season rainfall in southern India will be greater than usual over this weekend into the last days of May
• Parts of Australia may get timely rainfall during the weekend and especially next week
• China will start getting some scattered showers late this week into next week, although greater volumes of rain may still be needed in the Yellow River Basin
• China temperatures in the dry region will not be quite as hot as advertised Friday and for fewer days, though heat and moisture stress are expected until some rain falls
• No changes in South America