World Weather, Inc. Daily Ag Market Weather (audio)

Sunday Evening Market Weather Update For June 11, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 11, 2023

• U.S. Midwest precipitation will continue lighter than usual over the next ten days, although mild temperatures early this week will conserve soil moisture for a little while
• Ridge building is expected over a part of the U.S. Plains and western Corn Belt during the second week of the outlook which may warm temperatures and keep rainfall lighter than usual
• Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy may bring rain to Gujarat and Rajasthan later this week and that could prove to be helpful to get cotton, rice and groundnut planting under way to help head off the potential for early withdrawing monsoonal rain late this summer
• Rainfall elsewhere in India will continue much lighter than usual
• China dryness may expand to the southwest from interior eastern Inner Mongolia over the balance of June
• Western Thailand rice, corn and some sugarcane areas are missing rain routinely and are still drier than usual
• Rain in northern and eastern Europe will come slowly during the next two weeks and some crop moisture stress is likely in the drier areas this week as temperatures continue warmer than usual while rainfall is restricted
• Weekend frost and freezes in northern Russia or the Baltic States should not have had a big impact on crops
• NOAA’s ENSO models have been reducing the intensity of El Nino in the fourth quarter this year relative to previous forecasts
• Argentina weather will continue drier than usual this week favoring fieldwork of all kinds, but rain is needed in western wheat areas
• Southern Brazil may get a little too wet later this week and drier weather may be needed
• Alberta Canada and some western Saskatchewan, Canada crop areas may get some needed rain later this week and into the weekend easing dryness and re-vitalizing some crops that have been withering recently
• North Africa is beginning to dry down

Morning Market Weather Update For Friday, June 9, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 09, 2023

• High pressure will remain aloft over central Canada’s Prairies and influence a part of the U.S. Northern Plains and Upper Midwest this weekend through mid-week next week limiting rainfall and allowing for warmer than usual temperatures
• The Canada high pressure ridge aloft will break down during mid- to late-week next week raising the potential for rain to develop in the western and central parts of the Prairies
• U.S. Midwest rainfall advertised for the next ten days will be light enough to maintain some concern over long term soil moisture and year enough precipitation will occur to benefit some of the crops in the region
• Cooler weather this weekend and early next week in U.S. Midwest will reduce crop moisture stress, although until significant rain falls there will be some ongoing concern over long term crop development potential
• A favorable mix of weather will occur in the U.S. Delta, southeastern states and central Plains
• West Texas cotton, corn and sorghum areas will experience limited rainfall for a while and some drying is expected to support fieldwork
• Eastern Russia’s New Lands and Kazakhstan will receive “some” rain in the coming ten days to ease long term dryness, but greater rain may still be needed
• Northwestern Europe (i.e. the U.K., France and some neighboring areas) will get rain this weekend with a limited number of showers next week
• Northeastern Europe will continue dry biased for ten days
• India’s monsoon will continue performing poorly in the south and east through the next week and possibly for ten days
• Australia’s greatest rainfall of the past week has ended and limited precipitation will now occur for the next ten days
• Argentina will be dry for the next ten days
• No threatening cold is expected in southern Brazil next ten days; Rain will fall in the south

Morning Market Weather Update For Thursday, June 8, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 08, 2023

• Rain is expected in the U.S. Midwest starting in the west this weekend and then advancing to the east next week
  • Be cautious here…..the Gulf of Mexico is still not open as a good moisture source and the abundant rain seen in the GFS model will not likely verify
  • The European model has the best forecast through day ten
• U.S. wheat production areas in the central Plains will continue to receive frequent rain, but there has not been much of a threat to grain quality with the most recent precipitation events; nonetheless, there is potential for quality declines again if it rains too frequently
• Eastern Alberta, Canada is still suffering from serious crop moisture stress
  • Computer forecast models do not agree on when it will rain and how much
  • World Weather, Inc. believes some rain will begin falling in the second half of this month and it will not likely be a fix all for crop development until later in the summer after atmospheric moisture is better than it will be in late June
• United Kingdom and France will get rain this weekend and then go back to a dry biased pattern for a little while longer
• The Baltic Plain and Scandinavia will continue to have the driest conditions over the next ten days with more crop moisture stress likely before rain finally evolves after June 18
• Russia’s eastern New Lands are not nearly as wet in today’s ten day forecast than it was Wednesday
  • A little too much rain was removed, but relief is still anticipated through the middle part of this month occurring as both cooler temperatures and occasional rain
• China’s weather remains mostly good and unchanged from that of Wednesday
• Australia will trend drier for a while, but recent rain is inducing a well-established wheat, barley and canola crop
• India’s monsoon will not perform well for another week and probably ten days with well below normal rainfall in the south and eastern parts of the nation.
• Timely rain will continue in most tropical areas in the world over the next ten days with only pockets of dryness expected

Morning Market Weather Update For Wednesday, June 7, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 7, 2023

• Cooler temperatures in U.S. crop areas of the Midwest during the coming week will help conserve soil moisture, although anticipated rainfall will be restricted
  • Most areas will get “some” rain, but a general soaking will elude the key production areas
  • The environment will help keep crops viable, but in need of more rain
• Drought in eastern and southern Alberta and some neighboring areas of western Saskatchewan continues and is not likely to be seriously eased for a while, but the high pressure ridge over the heart of Canada’s Prairies is expected to abate this weekend and next week which will raise the potential for rain in the driest areas, but there is no guarantee that enough rain will fall to begin supporting crops better
• Northern Europe is still quite dry and the Baltic Sea region is not likely to see much rain for another week; some rain is expected in the North Sea region, especially in the U.K. and parts of northern France within the next week
• Eastern Russia New Lands and neighboring Kazakhstan will receive some needed shower and thunderstorm activity in this coming week and the rain distribution will have to be closely monitored because of the potential for erratic rainfall and only partial relief from dryness
• India’s monsoon will continue to perform poorly because of a tropical cyclone in the Arabian Sea disrupting the normal southwest monsoon flow that brings rain to the nation. This problem will continue for another five to six days
• Northeast and southern China will remain plenty wet over the next ten days while some drying occurs in the Yellow River basin and North China Plain
• Australia weather will remain largely good as it will be in Brazil; Rain is needed in Argentina especially in the west

Morning Market Weather Update for Tuesday, June 6, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 6, 2023

• S. Midwest cooling and expected rainfall during the coming week to ten days will offer some relief to recent drying and crop moisture stress
  • A full restoration of soil moisture is  not likely and many areas will remain on a path for below average rainfall this month, but the timely rain and cooling should benefit many crops
• Less rain is expected in West Texas cotton, corn, sorghum and peanut production areas during the next ten days, although it will not be dry
• Canada’s Prairies will continue drier biased and warm through the end of this week and into the weekend, despite some showers
  • Some increase in rain and cooling is possible in the second week of the forecast
• Northern Europe is expecting rain this weekend and next week easing long term dryness
• Eastern CIS New Lands will get some much needed rain this week and into early next week easing recent very warm to hot temperatures and accelerated drying
• India’s monsoon will perform poorly through the weekend and into early next week, but it will improve shortly thereafter with greater rain in the south and eastern parts of the  nation
• Australia is still getting some very well distributed rainfall across key wheat, barley and canola areas favoring well established winter crops
• Argentina is not likely to see much rain, but will have good planting conditions for wheat and barley as well as have success with summer crop harvest progress
• Brazil’s Safrinha crops will get a little rain in this coming week
• China’s weather will be mostly good

Morning Market Weather Update for Monday, June 5, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 05, 2023

• ECMWF model was wetter for the eastern Midwest starting this weekend and continuing into next week
  • Some of the moisture advertised for this weekend into early next week may be a little overdone, but some rain is expected
• 00z GFS model was wetter for the IOWA, Missouri, Illinois, southern Indiana, the Tennessee River Basin, Delta and southeastern states in days 11-15 today.  The model was much too wet and the 06z model run was a little less intensive on the rainfall, but a boost in rain was still suggested
• Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected in the U.S. Plains and western Corn Belt periodically in this coming week
• Canada’s Prairies will see erratic rainfall over the next ten days leaving some areas in the southwestern Prairies too dry and leaving the need for more rain in the southeast as well
  • Rain is needed immediately in parts of eastern Alberta and in a few southwestern Manitoba and extreme southeastern Saskatchewan locations
• Canada’s Prairies will continue quite warm this workweek, despite a little cool front passing briefly through the eastern Prairies during mid-week
• Northern Europe should receive some needed rain next week, but continued dry weather is expected this week
• CIS eastern New Lands will begin getting some scattered showers to ease long term dryness during mid-week this week and the precipitation potential will continue into next week, although Kazakhstan will not see as much rain as Russia
• Ukraine and Belarus will continue drying out along with other eastern European crop areas through the coming week
• China will see a good mix of weather; winter wheat areas will be dry this week, but will begin getting rain again next week
• India’s monsoon will continue to perform poorly through the next ten days and perhaps for two weeks
• Australia will continue to receive timely  rainfall for many winter crop areas
• Argentina precipitation will be restricted
• Brazil’s Safrinha crop areas will be dry over the next ten days along with coffee, citrus and sugarcane areas
• North Africa will remain wet biased

Sunday Evening Market Weather Update for June 4, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 04, 2023

• Dry weather will continue in the eastern U.S. Midwest for the next week to ten days
• Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected in the U.S. Plains and western Corn Belt periodically during the next ten days
• A boost in U.S. Midwest rainfall may evolve after June 14
• Canada’s Prairies will see erratic rainfall over the next ten days leaving some areas in the southwestern Prairies too dry and leaving the need for more rain in the southeast as well
• Northern Europe should receive some needed rain next week, but continued dry weather is expected this week
• CIS eastern New Lands will begin getting some scattered showers to ease long term dryness during mid-week this week and the precipitation potential will continue into next week, although Kazakhstan will not see as much rain as Russia
• Ukraine and Belarus will continue drying out along with other eastern European crop areas through the coming week
• China will see a good mix of weather; winter wheat areas will be dry this week, but will begin getting rain again next week
• India’s monsoon will continue to perform poorly through the next ten days and perhaps for two weeks
• Australia will continue to receive timely  rainfall for many winter crop areas
• Argentina precipitation will be restricted
• Brazil’s Safrinha crop areas will be dry over the next ten days along with coffee, citrus and sugarcane areas
• North Africa will remain wet biased

Morning Market Weather Update For Friday, June 2, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 02, 2023

• No major changes overnight again
• Northern Europe will continue unusually dry for at least another ten days,  though no extreme temperatures are expected
• Eastern Russia’s New Lands will be dry and warm through the weekend before rain scatters through the production region and temperatures begin to cool
• Kazakhstan will continue drier biased throughout the next ten days, despite a few showers and some cooling later next week and into the following weekend
• All of Australia still has a very good chance for additional needed moisture in each of the major wheat, barley and canola production areas during the coming ten days
• North Africa and southern Europe will continue wetter than usual
• India’s monsoon will perform poorly in the first half of this month in southern and eastern parts of the nation
• Tropical cyclones may evolve next week in the Arabian Sea, Bay of Bengal and South China Sea
• U.S. Midwest crop areas will continue to dry down over the next ten days with temperatures very warm through the weekend and then a little milder briefly next week
• U.S. Great Plains weather will continue wettest from western Texas to Montana
• Saskatchewan, Canada will receive frequent rainfall during the next ten days except in the southeast where net drying is likely
• Southern Manitoba, Canada will be drying out for a while as well while the biggest concern remains in eastern and southern Alberta where drought remains a serious concern

Morning Market Weather Update For June 1, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 01, 2023

• Not many changes overnight
• Northern Europe will continue unusually dry for at least another ten days,  though no extreme temperatures are expected
• Eastern Russia’s New Lands will be dry for a few more days before rain scatters through the production region, but rain is expected next week offering “some” relief to recent drying
• Kazakhstan will continue dry biased throughout the next ten days
• Western Australia received some welcome rain overnight with locally heavy amounts in the south
• All of Australia still has a very good chance for additional needed moisture in each of the major wheat, barley and canola production areas during the coming ten days
• North Africa and southern Europe will continue wetter than usual
• India’s monsoon will perform poorly in the first half of this month in southern and eastern parts of the nation
• Tropical cyclones may evolve next week in the Arabian Sea, Bay of Bengal and South China Sea
• U.S. Midwest crop areas will continue to dry down over the next ten days with temperatures very warm through the weekend and then a little milder briefly next week
• U.S. Great Plains weather will continue wettest from western Texas to Montana
• Saskatchewan, Canada will receive frequent rainfall during the next ten days except in the southeast where net drying is likely
• Southern Manitoba, Canada will be drying out for a while as well while the biggest concern remains in eastern and southern Alberta where drought remains a serious concern

Morning Market Weather Update For Wednesday, May 31, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR MAY 31, 2023

• Northern Europe will continue unusually dry for at least another week and probably ten days
• Eastern Russia’s New Lands will be dry for several more days, but rain is expected sporadically later this week and into next week offering some relief to recent drying
• Kazakhstan will continue dry biased throughout the next ten days
• Australia still has a very good chance for needed moisture in each of the major wheat, barley and canola production areas during the coming ten days
• North Africa and southern Europe will continue wetter than usual
• India’s Monsoon will start poorly this year with the first half of June notably drier biased in the south and east parts of the nation
• U.S. Midwest crop areas will continue to dry down over the next ten days with temperatures very warm in this first week of the outlook and then cooler conditions will occur briefly
• U.S. Great Plains weather will continue west from western Texas to Montana
• Some relief from dryness is expected in eastern Alberta and western Saskatchewan, Canada during the coming week, although no drought busting rain event is expected
• Southern Manitoba, Canada will continue to experience limited rainfall and be drier than usual for a while