World Weather, Inc. Daily Ag Market Weather (audio)

Morning Market Weather For Friday, June 23, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 23, 2023

• Hot temperatures in Texas may bubble up into Kansas, Missouri and parts of Illinois this weekend again during the middle to latter part of next week; extreme highs in the 90s Fahrenheit are expected with a couple of readings near 100
• Central Midwest rainfall will continue to be poorly distributed in the coming week, although a few showers and thunderstorms will pop up; no serious relief to dryness is likely
• Week two U.S. weather may provide a little more rain in the Midwest, but it may only be a temporary reprieve and some caution will be needed in determining the impact of that moisture; any rain will be important, but the relief may not last long
• GFS model is trying to bring a tropical cyclone into the Gulf of Mexico during the second week of the outlook, this may or may not verify, but be assured that the feature will influence week two weather in many of the coming computer model runs; (confidence in a storm verifying is very low today)
• No ridge of high pressure is expected in the U.S. Midwest next week or in the following week resulting in little to no potential for excessive heat except in the southwestern Corn Belt as noted in the first bullet above
• Northern U.S. Plains and upper Midwest rainfall expected this weekend and periodically in the second week of the outlook should prove extremely beneficial in improving crop and field conditions in the Dakotas, Minnesota, southern Manitoba and a some surrounding areas
• Rain in the Great Lakes region over the next couple of weeks will help prevent crops from drying down much more than they already have
• Texas will continue to deal with excessive heat for much of the coming week with extremes of 108 to 116 common in the central and south stressing livestock and unirrigated crops throughout the state and in parts of Oklahoma as well
  • A strong energy demand for natural gas and electricity will continue in Texas and some immediate neighboring areas
• Canada’s Prairies will experience net drying in the heart of the region while Manitoba and western Alberta have the best chance for rain over the next week to ten days; greater rain is still expected in July across Saskatchewan
• India’s monsoon depression expected over the coming week will bring much needed rain to much of the nation
• Russia has confirmed lower sunseed and spring wheat yields because of dryness earlier this season in the eastern New Lands, but weather in this coming week will be mild to cool and rain is expected in many areas
• China will continue quite wet in the southern rice areas where early rice quality may be compromised and some delay in harvesting is likely
• Net drying may continue north of the Yellow River for a while, but most of the dryness will be in minor summer crop areas with some sugarbeet and spring wheat impacted
• No changes in South America weather were noted overnight
• Eastern Australia’s rain event is still on for late next week and in the following weekend; if it verifies it would be a big boon for wheat and barley in Queensland and northern New South Wales where it has been dry, but the system may be a little overdone
• Indonesia and Malaysia rainfall is becoming quite erratic and light, but some increase in rainfall is expected
• Water supply in mainland areas of Southeast Asia remains poor and western Thailand rainfall continues well below normal; other areas in Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos will get timely rain of greater benefit

Morning Market Weather Update For Thursday, June 22, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 22, 2023

• A boost in predicted rainfall was noted overnight in the northern Midwest, especially in Wisconsin and Michigan with some increase in shower activity suggested for the drier areas in Illinois, Indiana and Iowa over the coming ten days
  • However, the increase in shower activity in the “I” states has already been advertised in previous model runs and confidence is still not high that these areas will get enough rain to seriously change the moisture profile for any great length of time
    • Be watchful for surprisingly greater rainfall in a few of the driest areas during the coming week, but that kind of event will only impact a very small part of the overall driest region
• Very warm to hot air from Texas may be briefly drawn northward into the southwestern U.S. Corn Belt inducing warmer than expected temperatures in Kansas, Missouri and Illinois
  • This will occur briefly this weekend and possibly again briefly during mid-week next week
• Overall, though, the dry biased areas in Illinois and immediate neighboring areas are not likely to be seriously altered despite a few showers in the coming week to ten days or the brief insurgence of hotter weather from the southwest
• U.S Delta weather will be favorable while the southeastern states see some improvement after recent heavy rain
• The northern U.S. Plains will experience significant rain along with a part of the upper Midwest, but Canada’s eastern Prairies will not see much significant rain
• Cool weather occurred again overnight from southwestern Alberta, Canada into the U.S. Pacific Northwest and the northwestern U.S. Plains, but no more than a few patches of light frost resulted without any serious crop impact
• Excessive heat in Texas will continue for another week stressing livestock and zapping moisture from the soil the increase dryland crop stress in cotton, sorghum, soybean, rice and corn production areas
  • Some rain will occur briefly into Saturday morning from the Texas Panhandle and southwestern Oklahoma into the Texas Blacklands, but West Texas and South Texas will be hot and dry.
• Rain from eastern France through Germany to western Poland over the next few days will bring temporary relief from recent dryness, but another week of dry weather will follow maintaining some concern about the big picture for crops
  • No excessive heat is expected, though, and that will help limit the impact of dry weather
• No changes in Russia, China, Australia, South America or India weather was noted overnight
  • China’s crop region north of the Yellow River into Mongolia will be dry and warm biased for a while
  • India’s monsoon rainfall will increase during the weekend and next week as a monsoon depression moves across the nation
    • Maharashtra into Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh will be driest in India for the next couple of weeks
  • Southern China’s early rice crop will be subjected to excessive rain resulting in harvest delays and a quality decline
• Western Thailand dryness will continue, although some rain will fall periodically
• Tropical Depression Four and Tropical Storm Bret will both dissipate this weekend and next week respectively without directly impacting land

Morning Market Weather Update For Wednesday, June 21, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 21, 2023

• Not much change occurred overnight
• U.S. weather will continue dry biased in the heart of the Corn and Soybean Belt; the next set of showers due into the driest areas will occur this weekend and linger into Monday with follow up showers during the second half of the week
  • Resulting rainfall will be lighter than usual, but several areas should benefit even if the resulting amounts are limited
  • Frequent follow up rain is still needed
• Gulf of Mexico will not open as a good moisture source for the Midwest during the next ten days
• Mexico’s drought remains serious and the lack of monsoon moisture threatens its summer crop production
• Texas continues hot and dry with little to no change likely for the next ten days
  • Livestock and crop stress will be on the rise
• Dryness relief is expected in the northern U.S. Plains and some neighboring areas in the southeastern Canada Prairies during the coming week
• Recent rain in central, western and northern Alberta, Canada has greatly improved its moisture profile with some areas in the west possibly too wet
• Drought continues in southeastern Alberta and some immediate neighboring areas
• Northern Europe rainfall is expected to increase later this week into next week easing long term dryness, but another bout of drying should follow the relief
• Eastern Russia’s New Lands will experience cooler than usual temperatures and periods of rain later this week into next week improving soil moisture and crop conditions
• India’s monsoon is expected to start performing better late this week and most of next week easing dryness in much of the nation and supporting a better environment for planting of summer crops
• Australia’s winter crops are rated favorably, though there is need for rain in northern production areas
• No change in South America weather was noted overnight
• No change in China weather was suggested either
• Western Thailand rice, corn and sugarcane conditions are still not good, but recent rain in eastern Thailand and neighboring areas of Vietnam and Laos have either improved or soon will improve

Morning Market Weather Update For Tuesday, June 20, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 20, 2023

• Northern Europe rainfall is expected to increase later this week into next week easing long term dryness over time
• Eastern Russia’s New Lands will experience cooler than usual temperatures and periods of rain later this week into next week improving soil moisture and crop conditions
• India’s monsoon is expected to start performing better late this week and most of next week easing dryness in much of the nation and supporting a better environment for planting of summer crops
• Recent rain in western and central Alberta, Canada soaked the ground and induced some local flooding
• Partial relief occurred to a portion of Alberta’s dry region in the southeast during the weekend, but many areas still need greater rain and not much is expected for a while
• Manitoba, Canada and the U.S. Dakotas as well as parts of Minnesota and western Nebraska will get waves of rain during the next ten days improving soil moisture that has been limited at times recently
• Too much rain has fallen recently from southeastern Mississippi through southern Alabama, southern Georgia and northern Florida with 2.00 to 7.00 inches common and local totals over 10.00 inches
• The U.S. Carolinas and Virginia will be wettest this week while the Delta and other areas in the southeastern U.S. dry down for a little while
• Lower eastern U.S. Midwest crop areas are expected to be a little wetter in the coming week to ten days
• The heart of the U.S. Midwest will get some rain next week, but amounts are still advertised to be light leaving crop moisture stress an ongoing concern
• U.S. Midwest temperatures will not be hot enough to induce serious crop stress, but until greater rain falls plant stress will continue in central parts of the region
• Rain during the long U.S. holiday weekend was beneficial in Iowa and Nebraska as well as some immediate neighboring areas
• Saskatchewan, Canada will be drying down over this coming week to ten days, although soil moisture is still rated good enough to protect many crops from the drier bias
• Mexico drought remains quite serious and unchanging over the next ten days
  
  

Morning Market Weather Update For Friday, June 16, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 16, 2023

• Excessive rain fell in northern Florida and a few counties in far southern Georgia Thursday and overnight with 3.00 to 7.60 inches and Pensacola, Fla. reporting 9.84 inches
  • Additional waves of heavy rain will fall in these same areas during the coming week to ten days resulting in more flooding and possible crop damage
• Central and eastern Midwest crop areas are unlikely to get much rain for the next ten days; the area includes eastern Iowa and southern Wisconsin through Illinois to Michigan, Ohio and some northern Kentucky locations
  • The areas already hurting from dryness are most significant in Illinois, eastern Iowa and some areas in southeastern Minnesota and southwestern Wisconsin
• Excessive rain is expected in western Alberta, Canada Sunday through Tuesday while drought remains in interior southern and east-central parts of the same province
• Texas weather will be hot and mostly dry during the next ten days
• Mexico’s drought will not be seriously eased in the next ten days
• No changes were noted in South America overnight leaving western wheat areas in Argentina dry and southern Brazil wet
• Europe will remain warmer than usual during the next ten days with improving chances for rain in drier areas of the north
• Russia’s Eastern New Lands will be quite cold this weekend into next week resulting in some unusually late frost and freezes
• Rain is expected in eastern Russia’s New Lands and northern Kazakhstan in this coming week to help ease dryness
• India will get heavy rain from Gujarat to Uttar Pradesh this weekend and early next week
• India’s monsoon will begin improving late next week and continuing into early July, but it will take a while for “normal” rain to evolve
• China’s North China Plain and northern half of the Yellow River Basin will experience lighter than usual rain for much of the next two weeks and temperatures will be warm enough for net drying, despite some showers
• Southern China will receive too much rain over the next two weeks resulting in concerns for rice and sugarcane
• No changes of significance were noted for Southeast Asia, Australia or South Africa

Morning Market Weather Update for Thursday, June 15, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 15, 2023

• No major changes overnight
• Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy will reach the northwest coast of Gujarat, India this evening and will bring with it some torrential rain, a storm surge and some windy conditions
  • Remnants of the storm will move through Rajasthan Friday into the weekend with some rain reaching as far east as Uttar Pradesh; most of the moisture from the storm will be welcome, despite some flooding
• U.S. Midwest dryness will continue from eastern Minnesota, eastern Iowa and northeastern Missouri to western Wisconsin and parts of Illinois over the coming week to nearly 10 days
• Canada’s Prairies are still expecting some increase in shower and thunderstorm activity over the next ten days, but some of the rain will continue erratic and light leaving a greater need for more rain
• Argentina rainfall will continue well below normal leaving western wheat areas too dry
• Northern Europe rainfall will continue restricted in this first week of the outlook especially from northeastern France through Germany, but the following week should trend wetter
• Russia’s eastern New Lands are only expecting partial relief to dryness over the next two weeks, although there will be no excessive heat for a while
  • There is some potential for frost and light freezes in Russia’s northeastern New Lands this weekend and next week
• India’s monsoonal rainfall will continue minimal in this first week of the outlook, but conditions may begin to improve after June 22; rain will be most significant in association with Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy in the north through the weekend
• Australia’s rainfall will be greatest near the southern coast over the next ten days
• Northern China (north of the Yellow River) will be driest over the next ten days leaving very good crop weather for the remainder of nation
• Thailand and Vietnam rainfall will continue lighter than usual, but timely; water supply remains well below normal with little change likely

Morning Market Weather (Short Version) For June 14, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 14, 2023

This is a short version of the morning market update. If you want/need more details please listen to the full version.

Morning Market Weather Update For Wednesday, June 14, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 14, 2023

• U.S. Midwest rainfall will be minimal over the next ten days from southern Indiana through the heart of Illinois to eastern Iowa, eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin
• Eastern Midwest will get showers today and Thursday with a few more possible during the middle part of next week
• Portions of U.S. Delta and southeastern states will receive frequent rain that will be moderate to heavy at times during the next week to ten days
  • Local flooding is possible
• Northern U.S. Plains and upper Midwest rainfall will be restricted, but showers and thunderstorms are expected periodically
• Alberta and Saskatchewan will get some needed rain in the next ten days, although southeastern Alberta and southwestern Saskatchewan will be largely missed by the greatest rainfall
• Much of western and southern Texas will be dry with warm to hot temperatures in the south over the next ten days
• Northeastern France, Germany, Belgium, Netherlands and Denmark will be dry biased through the weekend, but showers and thunderstorms will slowly evolve next week to begin moistening the topsoil
• Central and eastern Ukraine, eastern Belarus, the Baltic States and western Russia crop areas will be dry during the next week to ten days
• Southern Europe will continue wet
• Limited rain and mild weather will occur in Russia’s key grain and oilseed areas except in southern parts of the Southern Region where rain will fall significantly
• Limited rain will fall in Kazakhstan next ten days
• China’s Yellow River Basin is expected to continue drying out raising the need for rain
• Far southern China will be quite wet over the next two weeks 
• India’s greatest rain in this first week of the two weeks outlook will be from Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy which is expected inland over northwestern Gujarat around 1700 GMT Thursday 
• India’s monsoonal rainfall will otherwise be limited over the next week except strong thunderstorms in the far south this weekend
• India’s weather will become more active in the June 21-28 period
• Argentina rainfall will continue restricted over the next ten days
• Mato Grosso do Sul to Parana, Sao Paulo, Santa Catarina and northern Rio Grande do Sul will be wetter than usual through Friday

Morning Market Weather Update for Tuesday, June 13, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 13, 2023

• No excessive heat is likely in U.S. Midwest, although the region will trend a little warmer later this week and stay seasonably warm into next week
• U.S. Midwest precipitation remains limited for many areas in the coming week, although showers and thunderstorms do occur
  • Western and central Midwest will remain driest with an ongoing need for greater rain
• U.S. high pressure ridge never becomes very strong, but it will be over a part of the Midwest from late this week through the first half of next week before shifting to the Plains and staying weak during the final days of the second week outlook
• Alberta, Canada is still expecting relief from chronic dryness later this week with some follow up moisture in the following week
• Saskatchewan and portions of Manitoba, Canada also get some beneficial rainfall, although its distribution is not as good as in Alberta, especially not in Manitoba
• U.S. hard red winter wheat areas see a good mix of weather next ten days
• West Texas will remain in a drying mode for the next ten days
• U.S. Delta and southeastern states will experience some heavy rainfall periodically over the next ten days
• Northern U.S. Plains and upper Midwest will get some timely rainfall Friday into the weekend, although more may be needed in some areas
• Northern Europe rainfall will slowly improve this weekend and especially next week
• Eastern Russia New Lands and northern Kazakhstan will receive a restricted amount of Rainfall during the next ten days; temperatures will be mild to cool
• Some dryness expansion from eastern Inner Mongolia to the northern Yellow River Basin is expected over the next few weeks
• Rainy weather will continue in far southern China resulting in flooding for rice and sugarcane areas
• Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy will move through northwestern Gujarat, India and southeastern Sindh, Pakistan late this week before moving across northern India producing heavy rain that should be of use to the planting of summer crops once flooding subsides
• Little change in Australia, South Africa or the tropics

Morning Market Weather Update For Monday, June 12, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JUNE 12, 2023

• U.S. Midwest precipitation will continue lighter than usual over the next ten days, although mild temperatures early this week will conserve soil moisture for a little while
• Ridge building is expected over a part of the U.S. Plains and western Corn Belt during the second week of the outlook which may warm temperatures and keep rainfall lighter than usual
• U.S. Midwest corn and soybean crop stress will be rising this week because of limited rainfall and the return of warmer temperatures late this week
• Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy may bring rain to northern Gujarat, southeastern Pakistan and Rajasthan, India later this week and that could prove to be helpful to get cotton, rice and groundnut planting under way to help head off the potential for early withdrawing monsoonal rain late this summer
• Rainfall elsewhere in India will continue much lighter than usual
• China dryness may expand to the southwest from interior eastern Inner Mongolia over the balance of June
• Western Thailand rice, corn and some sugarcane areas are missing rain routinely and are still drier than usual
• Vietnam rainfall will continue a little lighter and more sporadic than usual over the next ten days
• Rain in northern and eastern Europe will come slowly during the next two weeks and some crop moisture stress is likely in the drier areas this week as temperatures continue warmer than usual while rainfall is restricted
• Weekend frost and freezes in northern Russia or the Baltic States should not have had a big impact on crops
• NOAA’s ENSO models have been reducing the intensity of El Nino in the fourth quarter this year relative to previous forecasts
• Argentina weather will continue drier than usual this week favoring fieldwork of all kinds, but rain is needed in western wheat areas
• Southern Brazil may get a little too wet later this week and drier weather may be needed
• Alberta Canada and some western Saskatchewan, Canada crop areas may get some needed rain later this week and into the weekend easing dryness and re-vitalizing some crops that have been withering recently
• Flooding rain occurred in a part of eastern Cuba impacting some minor crop areas
• Flooding also occurred along the coast of Ivory Coast and in southwestern Ghana during the weekend