World Weather, Inc. Daily Ag Market Weather (audio)

Morning Market Weather Update For Thursday, August 31, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR AUGUST 31, 2023

• Tropical Storm Dalia is now moving out to sea after moving from northern Florida to North Carolina Wednesday
  • The storm produced rainfall of 2.00 to more than 6.00 inches with local totals to 8.52 inches throughout the region
  • Wind speeds were mostly reported in the range of 60 to 85mph in north-central Florida and from 40 to 64 mph elsewhere to the northeast into the Carolinas
  • World Weather, Inc. does not believe the impact on agriculture will be very great, but some damage did occur to a few crops
• Today’s European forecast model has suggested greater rain for northwestern India in the second week of the forecast, but World Weather, Inc. believes the model is not likely to verify and that drier biased conditions should continue into mid-month
• China will experience net drying in the interior of the nation for a while, but Typhoon Saola will bring heavy rain to the Guangdong coast and possibly impact the ports of Hong Kong and southern China
• Tropical Storm Haikui may also impact both Taiwan and southeastern China this weekend into early next week
• Southern Australia rainfall will continue lighter than usual while Queensland, northern New South Wales and northern Western Australia stay dry and warm raising concern over reproduction potentials
• Europe is expected to be a little drier except in Spain, Portugal and a part of southern France where rain is expected to develop and prevail periodically for a while in the coming week
• Western CIS crop weather will continue drier biased from eastern Ukraine to western Kazakhstan, although some showers may eventually develop
• U.S. Midwest, Great Plains and northern Delta will be dry biased for the next ten days to two weeks and temperatures will be warmer than usual for at least another week to ten days
• Cooling is expected in the central U.S. during the mid- to late September with a boost in shower activity occurring with multiple cool fronts, but rainfall may continue lighter than usual
• Central and eastern Saskatchewan, Canada is receiving some significant rain today slowing fieldwork, but benefiting late season crops in a few areas
• Argentina will get some rain this weekend from Cordoba into Santa Fe and northern Buenos Aires to temporarily improve wheat crop and field conditions

Hurricane Dailia Update 0945 CDT August 30, 2023

The attached .mp4 video provides a quick update on rainfall, wind speeds and the satellite imagery for Hurricane Idalia as it moves through northern Florida toward southeastern Georgia. 

Morning Market Weather Update For Wednesday, August 30, 2023

• Hurricane Idalia was slamming into the upper west coastal region of Florida’s Peninsula today producing 130 mph wind speeds,l torrential rain and horrific storm surge.
  • The storm is coming inland in a region that is not heavily populated and that should help to minimize some of the damage; however, what property is there will be impacted
  • Idalia will race northeast to the Carolina coast by Thursday and the fast movement of the storm will help keep some of the rain amounts low and the impact of the storm lower than it might otherwise be
• Typhoon Saola remains between Luzon Island and Taiwan today, but it will move toward  the south Coast of China over the next two days; landfall is unlikely, but the system will get close enough to land to interfere with shipping and port activity in and around Hong Kong
• Interior parts of China are advertised a little drier for a while in the coming week to ten days and that should be a welcome change
• Northern India will remain dry biased for the coming ten days, but a monsoon low pressure system is expected to come inland from the Bay of Bengal next week to induce some increase in rainfall in central and eastern parts of the nation
  • Gujarat, Rajasthan and Pakistan may not be impacted by the new rain event
• A boost in second week rainfall was suggested today for eastern Ukraine and Russia’s Southern region near Krasnodar; otherwise, dry and warm biased conditions will continue in Russia’s Southern Region, western Kazakhstan and areas north to the Volga River Basin during the next ten days to two weeks
• Europe weather is expected to continue trending more active again for a while with many areas getting rain at one time or another
• U.S. crop areas in the Great Plains, Midwest and northern Delta are still advertised dry or mostly dry for the coming ten days
• Canada’s Prairies receive restricted rainfall in this first week of the outlook with “some” potential for greater rain next week in at least a part of the region
• U.S. hard red winter wheat areas need rain for early season planting, but only a limited amount of precipitation is expected
• Western Argentina will get some rain this weekend with model divergence keeping the amount of rain questionable. The European model suggests 1.00 to 2.00 inches of moisture in Cordoba and Santa Fe while the GFS model suggests no more than 0.60 inch
  • The precipitation may end up being light
• Brazil weather changed very little overnight
• Australia rainfall will continue limited in the south over the next ten days except in Victoria and the far southwestern corner of Western Australia where rainfall should be sufficient to maintain good soil moisture; net drying is expected elsewhere.
• Queensland and northern Western Australia need rain immediately to improve reproduction potentials for unirrigated crops

Morning Market Weather Update for Tuesday, August 29, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR AUGUST 29, 2023

• Hurricane Idalia will impact northwestern portions of the Florida Peninsula, southeastern Georgia and coastal areas of the Carolinas Wednesday and Thursday with heavy rain, high wind speeds and an impressive coastal surge
  • The storm will come inland with a storm surge of 8-12 feet above normal tides and rainfall of 4.00 to 10.00 inches and possibly more
  • Wind speeds may be close 120mph near the coast at the storm’s center and will gust over 70mph at least 70-80 miles inland
• Hurricane Franklin is not expected to threaten Land through the weekend
• Dryness will continue in the U.S. Midwest, Great Plains and northern Delta for at least a week and probably ten days, although some rain may occur during mid- to late-week next week briefly
• Canada’s Prairies will experience a few showers, but no drought busting rain events for a while
• Texas cotton, corn and sorghum areas will continue too dry for at least another week to ten days. This includes West Texas as well as the Badlands, South Texas and the Texas Coastal Bend
• Western Argentina rainfall is still expected to be disappointing in the next ten days, but some showers and temporary relief is expected
• Southern Brazil will probably become a little too wet at times next week
• Today’s forecast is a little less wet in center west and center south Brazil, but still wet enough to slow late season Safrinha corn and cotton harvesting
• Coffee areas will see some additional flowering, but greater rain is needed in several areas to induce more generalized flowering
• Southern Australia rainfall is still not very impressive for the next week to ten days
• Drying in northern Australia winter crop areas will continue raising concern over reproduction that begins soon
• China weather should be less wet in the coming two weeks
• Northwestern India is still looking dry for the next two weeks; this includes southern and central Pakistan, Gujarat, Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, northwestern Madhya Pradesh and northern Maharashtra.  Rain will fall in most other areas
• Eastern Ukraine to western Kazakhstan will be dry along with areas north into the Volga River Basin for the next ten days
• Typhoon Saola will move between Taiwan and Luzon Island, Philippines over the next two days before moving near and possibly into Guangdong, China not far from Hong Kong this weekend and early next week
• Europe will trend wetter from the Alps to Scandinavia and the Baltic States and rain will develop in Spain, Portugal and a part of France this weekend into next week

Morning Market Weather Update For Monday, August 28, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR AUGUST 28, 2023

• India’s forecast is still dry biased for the next two weeks in the northwest; including Rajasthan, Gujarat, neighboring Pakistan and portions of northern Maharashtra, northwestern Madhya Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana
• China received heavy rain in east-central parts of the nation during the weekend with rainfall of 3.25 to more than 10.00 inches from Sichuan, Shaanxi and Hubei to Jiangsu, southern Shandong and a part of southwestern Hebei resulting in some flooding
• Northern and east-central China will be drier biased after Tuesday, but rain is expected today and early Tuesday
• Typhoon Saola will pose a threat to southern Taiwan and southern crop areas of Guangdong and Fujian, China this week and into the weekend
• Australia’s Queensland, northern New South Wales and northern Western Australia are still advertised to be dry for the next two weeks raising concern over early reproducing wheat and barley in September
• Southern Australia precipitation will be lighter than usual, although routine enough to maintain good canola, wheat and barley conditions
• Europe’s weather is trending wetter once again especially from the Alps
• Interior western Russia, Southern Russia, eastern Ukraine and western Kazakhstan will also receive little to no rain in the coming ten days resulting in a continued need for rain to support late season crops; good harvest progress is expected for small grains
• Drying from eastern Ukraine to western Kazakhstan and northward through the middle Volga River Basin will continue for another ten days
• U.S. Midwest weather will continue drier than usual through the next 12 days
• Lower parts of the U.S. Midwest received some welcome rain during the weekend, but areas to the north were dry
  • Cooling occurred in both the northern Plains and Midwest during the weekend
• U.S. Midwest weather will trend warmer than usual again during the latter part of this week into next week
• Tropical Storm Idalia formed in the northwestern Caribbean Sea during the weekend will reach northern Florida and southern Georgia as a major hurricane Wednesday
• Canada’s Prairies will receive restricted rainfall this week and temperatures will trend warmer than usual
• West Texas and the Texas Blacklands will get some rain tonight and Monday with another week of drying after that

Sunday Evening Market Weather Update For August 27, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR AUGUST 27, 2023

• India’s forecast is still dry biased for the next 12 days in the northwest; including Rajasthan, Gujarat, neighboring Pakistan and portions of northern Maharashtra, northwestern Madhya Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana
• China received heavy rain in east-central parts of the nation during the weekend with rainfall of 3.25 to more than 8.00 inches from Sichuan, Shaanxi and Hubei to Jiangsu and southern Shandong resulting in some flooding
• Northern and east-central China will be drier biased after Monday of this week
• Typhoon Saola will pose a threat to southern Taiwan and southern crop areas of Guangdong and Fujian this week
• Australia’s Queensland, northern New South Wales and northern Western Australia are still advertised to be dry for the next two weeks raising concern over early reproducing wheat and barley in September
• Southern Australia precipitation will be lighter than usual, although routine enough to maintain good canola, wheat and barley conditions
• Europe’s weather is trending wetter once again
• Interior western Russia, Southern Russia, eastern Ukraine and western Kazakhstan will also receive little to no rain in the coming ten days resulting in a continued need for rain to support late season crops; good harvest progress is expected for small grains
• Drying from eastern Ukraine to western Kazakhstan and northward through the middle Volga River Basin will continue for another ten days
• U.S. Midwest weather will continue drier than usual through the next 12 days
• Lower parts of the U.S. Midwest received some welcome rain during the weekend, but areas to the north were dry
  • Cooling occurred in both the northern Plains and Midwest during the weekend
• U.S. Midwest weather will trend warmer than usual again during the latter part of this week into next week
• Tropical Storm Idalia formed in the northwestern Caribbean Sea during the weekend will reach northern Florida and southern Georgia as a hurricane Wednesday
• Canada’s Prairies will receive restricted rainfall this week and temperatures will trend warmer than usual
• West Texas and the Texas Blacklands will get some rain tonight and Monday with another ten days of drying after that

World Weather Outlook (PowerPoint) For August 25, 2023

We may begin providing a daily PowerPoint Video of World Weather events that will influence the market place.  A sample of this is posted here.  We intend to cover the most significant market influencing weather events of the day each day (Monday through Friday) in these presentations.  Your feedback would be greatly appreciated. The presentation is probably too long, but we believe there may be some value to this and we would like to see how many, if any, of our viewers would find this worthy of their time and subscription.  We would like to create a similar, but shorter, product for our farming friends in the United States and Perhaps in Canada, but only if the feed back points us in that direction.  Enjoy! 

Morning Market Weather Update For Friday, August 25, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR AUGUST 25, 2023

• India’s forecast is trending drier with each new forecast model run; concern about poor rain will be rising and as the end of the monsoon season approaches for northwestern areas the concern will rise
• China will see some welcome drying in portions of the northeastern Provinces in this coming week, although Heilongjiang may still get enough rain to stay wet
• East-central China may get some heavy rain experience more flooding during the weekend; areas from Shaanxi and northeastern Sichuan to Jiangsu will be most at risk of excessive rainfall
• Typhoon Saola will be nearly stationary immediately east northeast of the Philippines through the weekend; however, the models differ greatly about where the system will go next week with some concern about Taiwan and southern China getting too much rain, strong wind and flooding
• Europe’s recent drier biased weather will be breaking down this weekend and a more active weather pattern is expected to evolve once again
• Interior western Russia, Southern Russia, eastern Ukraine and western Kazakhstan will receive little to no rain in the coming ten days resulting in a continued need for rain to support late season crops
• South Australia rainfall will be notably light and infrequent during the next ten days
• Queensland, northern New South Wales and northern Western Australia will not get any rain in the next ten days and temperatures will be warm enough to accelerate drying in unirrigated winter crop areas resulting in more plant stress
• Argentina’s western wheat areas will remain dry for ten days
• Brazil rainfall will be sufficient to improve first season corn planting and establishment conditions, although fieldwork may be delayed for a while
• U.S. Midwest weather will continue drier than usual through the next ten days, despite a bout of welcome cooling this weekend
• U.S. Midwest weather will trend a little warmer than usual again during the second week of the forecast
• A tropical disturbance in the Caribbean Sea may develop into a tropical cyclone this weekend before moving across northern Florida during mid-week next week
• Tropical Storm Franklin will become a hurricane this weekend and it could end up moving close enough to Newfoundland to causing some heavy rain and strong wind speeds
• West Texas and the Texas Blacklands along with South Texas may get some rain Sunday through Tuesday, although it will be light
• Canada’s Prairies will be drier biased through the weekend and into early next week; western Alberta and both far northeastern and northwestern Saskatchewan are a little wet

Morning Market Weather Update For Wednesday, August 24, 2024

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR AUGUST 24, 2023

• Today’s computer forecast weather models have removed rain from Queensland and northern New South Wales that was advertised for Sunday through Tuesday in Wednesday morning’s forecast; the change was needed and necessary
• Southern Australia rainfall looks lighter than usual for the next ten days, but soil moisture is still rated favorably in many areas
• Argentina’s forecast is still dry through day ten, but the 00z GFS model run has introduced rain for much of the nation in the days 11-15 period; some of this moisture is overdone, but that is the earliest that some relief to dryness in the west can occur
• Europe will be tending wetter again, but recent dry and warm weather was good for advancing fieldwork
• Southern France into Spain have been excessively hot recently stressing crops and raising concern about the long range outlook for coarse grain and other unirrigated crops; cooling is coming, but not much rain for a while
• Drying will continue in eastern Ukraine through Russia’s Southern Region into western Kazakhstan, although it will not be as hot as it has been
• Frost and is possible in northern Russia late this weekend into early next week
• Frost and light freezes could show up in Canada’s Prairies during the second and third weeks of September
• India is still facing less than usual rainfall across a big part of the nation into September
  • An early withdrawal of the monsoon is expected in Pakistan, Gujarat and Rajasthan and rainfall in other areas will be lighter than usual at times going into the first ten days of September
  • 2023 will eventually be declared a drought year for India as monsoonal rainfall deficits drop below 10% of the norm
• Many areas in China will continue a little too wet, but there will be some welcome drying in eastern Inner Mongolia, Jilin and parts of Liaoning in the next ten days
• Central and western U.S. Midwest crop areas will continue drier than usual for at least another ten days maintaining crops stress, although cooling Friday into the weekend will reduce some of the stress
• Southern U.S. Plains shower activity will begin to increase late this weekend and continue next week
• Southwestern Canada’s Prairies will remain dry and temperatures will be trending hotter again late this weekend into next week
• Tropical disturbance may form in the northwestern Caribbean Sea this weekend and threaten Florida next week
• Tropical Storm Franklin will become a hurricane over open water in the Atlantic Ocean and two other tropical disturbances over the central Atlantic have some potential to evolve into tropical cyclones, but the will all stay over open water posing no threat to land

Morning Market Weather Update For Wednesday, August 23, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR AUGUST 23, 2023

• GFS model suggested Queensland and northern New South Wales, Australia may receive rain Sunday through Tuesday of next week with 0.50 to 1.50 inches and a few greater amounts
  • There is potential this event will be reduced in future model runs, but any rain that falls would be extremely welcome since many of these areas will see winter crops reproduce in early September.
• Argentina is still advertised to be dry or mostly dry during the next 10 days maintaining concern over wheat production this year, although there is still time for improved soil moisture
• Brazil rainfall is slated to increase next week with today’s outlook much wetter in southern Brazil on the European model run
• Key U.S. crop areas in the Great Plains, Midwest and northern Delta are still unlikely to get “significant” rain over the next ten days
• U.S. temperatures will be very warm to hot again today and Thursday in the middle two thirds of the Great Plains and in the western Midwest
• Cooling is expected from north to south through the U.S. Plains Friday and Saturday with Saturday and Sunday temperatures much closer to normal if not a little cooler than usual
• Warming is expected in U.S. crop areas of the Plains and Midwest again next week with temperatures above normal late next week through the following weekend
• Western Alberta, Canada will continue too wet with frequent bouts of significant rain to keep fields wet and fieldwork slow; the moisture will also slow crop maturation rates
• Eastern Saskatchewan and Manitoba, Canada will get some rain periodically over the next ten days benefiting some of the region’s late season crops
• Canada’s Prairies will turn warmer than usual after the next several days of near normal temperatures
• Europe is still advertised to trend wetter this weekend into next week
• Portions of Ukraine, Russia’s Southern Region and western Kazakhstan will remain drier and warmer than usual
• China will remain plenty wet over the next ten days except from Shandong to eastern Liaoning and western and Jilin where net drying is expected