Morning Market Weather Update For Wednesday, May 3, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR MAY 3, 2023

• Returning wet weather is expected in the eastern Dakotas, Minnesota and Manitoba, Canada beginning this weekend and lasting through much of next week resulting in a setback to this week’s drying trend
• U.S. hard red winter wheat rainfall in Nebraska and parts of Kansas continues overdone in today’s forecast model runs, although the ridiculous amount of rain advertised by the GFS model Tuesday for the coming ten days was greatly reduced overnight which was a necessary change
  • West-central and southwestern parts of the Plains will continue to receive sporadic rainfall of lighter than usual intensity
• A favorable mix of weather is expected in the U.S. Midwest, Delta and southeastern states over the next two weeks  
• West Texas cotton areas received a few showers overnight, but resulting rainfall was rarely more than 0.30 inch and additional showers are possible periodically during the next two weeks – no drought busting rainfall is expected
• Canada’s Prairies will experience some increase in shower activity this weekend and next week, but big soakings of rain are unlikely
• Argentina will continue dry biased for much of the next ten days, but the situation will be good for summer crop maturation and harvesting; rain will soon be needed for wheat planting, though
• Brazil weather will remain relatively normal for this time of year with no risk of damaging cold and net drying for many center west and center south crop areas
• Southwestern Europe and northern Africa will continue drier than usual for another week, but there will be “some” potential for rain next week in northeastern Algeria and northern Tunisia
• Other areas in Europe and the western CIS will see a mix of rain and sunshine; although, another bout of cold air is expected from Scandinavia into Ukraine, Belarus and northwestern Russia late this week into early next week
• India will continue cooler than usual with a few more showers and thunderstorms than usual during the next ten days
• Returning cool air to Xinjiang Jiang will set back a much needed warming trend for a while this weekend and next week
• Russia’s southern eastern New Lands region and northern Kazakhstan will receive some rain next week, but net drying is expected until then
• China’s rapeseed country needs drier weather to promote maturation and harvesting
• Western Australia will receive some badly needed rain this weekend and again next week