Morning Market Weather Update for Thursday, April 13, 2023

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR APRIL 13, 2023

• Fort Lauderdale, Fl. reported 25.60 inches of rain Wednesday surpassing its previous one day record of 14.59 inches set April 25, 1979 (22.60 inches in 7 hours)
• Intense tropical cyclone Ilsa was moving into northwestern Australia today producing maximum sustained wind speeds of 150 mph offshore earlier today and will come inland with speeds near 143 mph. The storm was 74 miles north northeast of Port Hedland, Western Australia at 1030 GMT today and its center was expected to pass 81 miles to the east of the port city around 1400 GMT today. Hurricane force wind speeds were occurring out 40-45 miles from center of the storm. The storm is a Category 4 hurricane equivalent storm based on the Saffir Simpson Scale
• European forecast model produces a deep upper level low pressure center in the center of the United States April 20-22 that could bring some notable cooling to the central and eastern parts of nation and significant rain to the upper Midwest, but this feature seems overdone and is not matched by the Ensemble or by any of the recent GFS model runs
  • 00z GFS model run did not have this feature, but the latest 06z GFS model is much colder in the eastern half of the nation for April
• U.S. southeastern states will experience another wave of significant rain later today and Friday with some follow up rain during the weekend keeping the ground quite wet
• U.S. west-central and southwestern Plains will remain drier biased for the next ten days
• U.S. wheat areas in Nebraska and Kansas may get rain in the second week of the forecast – lightest in the west
• Rain and wet snow in U.S. Red River Basin of the North Friday and Saturday will aggravate flooding resulting from melting snow
• Snow and rain today and Friday in southern Saskatchewan, Canada will improve topsoil moisture in one of the Prairies driest areas, but no relief from dryness is likely in southern or east-central Alberta for much of the next ten days
• Mato Grosso, Brazil rainfall with be periodic, although light in the next ten days while Safrinha crop areas to the south in Mato Grosso do Sul, Parana and Sao Paulo are plenty wet
• China’s Yangtze River Basin and areas southward to the coastal provinces will experience waves of  heavy rain next week that may lead to some flooding; this would impact rice and southern rapeseed areas as well as a few other crops like sugarcane, citrus and minor corn
• Spain and North Africa dryness will continue over the next ten days