Morning Market Weather For Tuesday, May 20, 2025

WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR MAY 20, 2025

• China’s dry region was hot Monday with highs in the 90s to 108 degrees Fahrenheit
  • The heat will continue today and then slowly ease later this week
  • A few showers and thunderstorms are also expected during the second half of this week to offer a short term bout of relief from the heat and dryness, although the will not be widespread or great enough to shut down drought
• Russia’s Southern Region will not get nearly as much rain as other areas and the need for moisture may rise in time once temperatures turn hotter
• Northern Europe will be dry through the weekend and next week should trend wetter in Germany and the North Sea region
• Some additional rain will evolve later this week in New South Wales wheat, barley and canola areas while most other areas in southern Australia are dry biased for a while longer; some periodic rain will fall near the southern coast this weekend into next week with Victoria wettest
• Argentina flooding is not impacting a major crop region and most of the nation continues to experience a good environment for summer crop maturation and harvesting
  • Winter wheat and barley planting is expected to get off to a great start and should establish well this year
• Both the GFS and ECMWF models are suggesting some rain in Safrinha corn and cotton areas of Brazil during the last days of May
• U.S. weather will be cooler than usual for the next week to ten days and that will conserve soil moisture and help ensure plenty of moisture for establishing corn, soybeans and other crops
  • Additional rain expected in the coming week will slow fieldwork, but keep the through of drought and dryness out of the minds’ of most traders and producers – at least the Midwest, Delta and northern Plains
• Too much rain continues to fall in parts of Kentucky, southeastern Missouri, the northern Delta and parts of the Tennessee River Basin preventing fieldwork from advancing as it should
• Dryness in the Yakima Basin and northern Oregon may be harming unirrigated winter crops which are moving into the heading and flowering stage
• West Texas rainfall is expected next week, but this week will continue mostly dry
• Most Gulf of Mexico coastal crop areas will also be dry for the next seven days and then portions of the region will have opportunity for rain
• Southern and eastern Mexico will trend wetter in the coming week to ten days easing recent dryness
• Portions of Canada’s Prairies will get needed moisture, though more will be needed in some areas
• India’s Monsoon will get off to an aggressive start this year with pre-monsoonal showers and thunderstorms more abundant than usual in this coming week